Tue, Oct 18, 2011·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New York Rangers 4, Vancouver Canucks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 05 | 04 | 410 | 419 |
| VAN | 013 | 015 | 012 | 040 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 2:22NYRMike RuppGWGAssists: Michael Del Zotto, Brandon Prust · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
- P3 9:57NYRRyan McDonaghAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Artem Anisimov · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–0
- P3 11:30NYRBrian BoyleAssists: Ruslan Fedotenko, Brandon Prust · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–0
- P3 17:39NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Ryan McDonagh, Brad Richards · Wrist, 0.18 xG4–0
Penalties (16)
- P1 2:26VANHenrik Sedin: Throwing equipment2 min
- P1 8:52VANRoberto Luongo: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 13:18NYRBrandon Prust: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 17:25NYRRyan McDonagh: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:00NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:51NYRArtem Anisimov: Holding2 min
- P2 17:31NYRJeff Woywitka: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:09NYRBrandon Prust: Boarding2 min
- P3 4:57VANRyan Kesler: Holding2 min
- P3 6:21NYRMichael Del Zotto: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:59NYRMike Rupp: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 17:16VANKevin Bieksa: Charging2 min
- P3 17:16VANKevin Bieksa: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:16VANKevin Bieksa: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:16NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:16NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Malhotra
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Callahan – Anisimov8:31
xG 0.50–0.08 (86%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Fedotenko – Boyle – Prust4:47
xG 0.14–0.09 (61%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
- Rupp – Newbury – Christensen2:21
xG 0.12–0.19 (38%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
- Richards – Gaborik – Stepan9:47
xG 0.21–0.53 (29%)attempts 2–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Girardi – McDonagh13:56
xG 0.57–0.57 (50%)attempts 7–18goals 2–0
- Del Zotto – Erixon9:17
xG 0.35–0.36 (50%)attempts 8–12goals 1–0
- Woywitka – Eminger7:30
xG 0.11–0.30 (27%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMalhotra – Samuelsson – Hansen5:37
xG 0.30–0.08 (78%)attempts 8–1goals 0–1
- Higgins – Kesler – Hodgson8:10
xG 0.30–0.15 (67%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Lapierre – Weise – Volpatti6:16
xG 0.12–0.23 (33%)attempts 5–6goals 0–1
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows9:49
xG 0.24–0.46 (34%)attempts 10–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Ballard12:56
xG 0.64–0.22 (75%)attempts 20–6goals 0–1
- Hamhuis – Edler9:56
xG 0.55–0.64 (46%)attempts 12–10goals 0–2
- Salo – Alberts8:58
xG 0.04–0.28 (13%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).