Thu, Oct 20, 2011·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 2, Phoenix Coyotes 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 08 | 29 | 05 | 222 |
| PHX | 011 | 07 | 010 | 028 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:56LAKDustin BrownPPGWGAssists: Mike Richards, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.39 xG1–0
- P2 15:23LAKKyle CliffordAssists: Kevin Westgarth, Matt Greene · Slap, 0.05 xG2–0
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:19LAKJarret Stoll: Hooking2 min
- P1 10:08PHXPaul Bissonnette: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:08LAKKevin Westgarth: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:43PHXDaymond Langkow: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 3:09PHXPaul Bissonnette: Interference2 min
- P2 12:01PHXRostislav Klesla: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:29LAKEthan Moreau: Holding2 min
- P3 17:25LAKBrad Richardson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stoll won the faceoff against Langkow
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Richards – Penner11:18
xG 0.48–0.32 (60%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Lewis – Westgarth – Clifford3:53
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 1–0
- Moreau – Stoll – Richardson8:53
xG 0.29–0.30 (49%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Gagne – Williams – Kopitar11:47
xG 0.38–0.51 (43%)attempts 9–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Martinez9:38
xG 0.48–0.30 (61%)attempts 12–15goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Greene4:27
xG 0.18–0.04 (81%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Scuderi – Johnson16:44
xG 0.48–0.66 (42%)attempts 8–17goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestWhitney – Langkow – Doan12:02
xG 0.31–0.14 (70%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Torres – Bissonnette – Nokelainen3:06
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Torres – Nokelainen – Korpikoski2:15
xG 0.02–0.07 (27%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Hanzal – Boedker9:36
xG 0.26–0.32 (44%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMorris – Yandle13:23
xG 0.42–0.04 (92%)attempts 17–4goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Ekman-Larsson14:29
xG 0.51–0.44 (54%)attempts 14–14goals 0–0
- Klesla – Schlemko12:17
xG 0.28–0.46 (38%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).