Tue, Oct 25, 2011·United Center, Chicago
Anaheim Ducks 2, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 05 | 213 | 011 | 02 | 1 | 231 |
| CHI | 011 | 19 | 19 | 06 | 2 | 335 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:58ANARyan GetzlafPPAssists: Corey Perry, Teemu Selanne · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–0
- P2 10:16CHIMarian HossaAssists: Patrick Kane, Sean O'Donnell · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 16:22ANATeemu SelanneAssists: Andrew Cogliano · Backhand, 0.11 xG2–1
- P3 5:57CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.01 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. ANA Corey Perry stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 3. ANA Teemu Selanne scored
- 4. CHI Dave Bolland stopped
- 5. ANA Ryan Getzlaf stopped
- 6. CHI Patrick Kane scored
Penalties (11)
- P1 6:51ANACorey Perry: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 10:33CHISean O'Donnell: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:53CHIDave Bolland: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 5:58CHIJamal Mayers: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:58ANASheldon Brookbank: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:41CHINick Leddy: Holding2 min
- P2 19:36ANAPatrick Maroon: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:26CHISean O'Donnell: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 10:08CHIPatrick Kane: High sticking2 min
- P3 17:50CHIMarian Hossa: Interference2 min
- OT 4:57ANABobby Ryan: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bolland won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGordon – Cogliano – McMillan6:54
xG 0.50–0.16 (76%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Selanne – Koivu – Ryan10:20
xG 0.24–0.60 (28%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
- Getzlaf – Perry – Maroon13:30
xG 0.13–0.59 (18%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Lydman – Visnovsky16:57
xG 0.83–0.87 (49%)attempts 12–18goals 1–2
- Visnovsky – Fowler2:10
xG 0.02–0.10 (16%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Brookbank – Sbisa5:48
xG 0.18–0.37 (32%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBolland – Bickell – Frolik10:37
xG 0.48–0.28 (63%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Brunette – Sharp – Toews8:22
xG 0.23–0.14 (62%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Mayers – Stalberg – Kruger2:05
xG 0.25–0.16 (61%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Stalberg – Frolik – Kruger2:25
xG 0.04–0.02 (67%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeabrook – Hjalmarsson13:07
xG 0.55–0.07 (88%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- O'Donnell – Montador9:39
xG 0.50–0.47 (52%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook2:37
xG 0.14–0.12 (53%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).