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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 27, 2011·Madison Square Garden, New York

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New York Rangers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.

NYR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:10Shot by Boyle, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 2:22Shot by Prust, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 2:31Shot by Erixon, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 2:36Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 3:55Shot by MacArthur, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 4:18Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 4:42Callahan: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner

  9. P1 4:42Lupul: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner

  10. P1 5:32Shot by Kessel, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  11. P1 5:56Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  12. P1 6:20Shot by Gaborik, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  13. P1 6:23Goal by Girardi (Gaborik, Anisimov)4v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Girardi, Anisimov, McDonagh · TOR Lombardi, Grabovski, Schenn, Gardiner

  14. P1 8:00Shot by Richards, saved by Gustavsson
  15. P1 9:45Shot by Callahan, saved by Gustavsson
  16. P1 11:52Shot by Kessel, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 11:53Shot by Lupul, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 12:30Shot by McDonagh, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P1 12:31Shot by Callahan, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P1 12:32Shot by Dubinsky, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P1 13:18Prust: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Wolski, Prust, Sauer, Erixon · TOR Liles, Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin

  22. P1 13:28Connolly: Clipping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh · TOR Connolly, Liles, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel

  23. P1 13:44Shot by Bozak, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  24. P1 14:03Gunnarsson: Holding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh · TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  25. P1 14:24Shot by Stepan, saved by Gustavsson4v3
  26. P1 14:43Shot by Callahan, saved by Gustavsson4v3
  27. P1 14:45Shot by Callahan, saved by Gustavsson4v3
  28. P1 15:15Shot by Callahan, saved by Gustavsson4v3
  29. P1 15:17Stepan: High sticking (2 min)4v3

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Callahan, Stepan · TOR Lombardi, Komisarek, Phaneuf

  30. P1 16:00Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  31. P1 16:33Shot by Kessel, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  32. P1 19:28Shot by Grabovski, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P1 19:41Shot by Kulemin, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 1:20Goal by Lombardi (Bozak, Gunnarsson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Eminger, Boyle, Wolski, Prust, Erixon · TOR Lombardi, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Bozak

  37. P2 1:30Shot by Bozak, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 1:31Newbury: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Newbury, Christensen, Sauer, Anisimov, Del Zotto · TOR Steckel, Dupuis, Brown, Schenn, Gardiner

  39. P2 1:31Brown: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Newbury, Christensen, Sauer, Anisimov, Del Zotto · TOR Steckel, Dupuis, Brown, Schenn, Gardiner

  40. P2 3:49Shot by Grabovski, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 3:54Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 4:46Shot by Prust, saved by Gustavsson
  43. P2 5:17Shot by Kessel, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 6:43Shot by Gaborik, saved by Gustavsson
  45. P2 8:20Shot by Frattin, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 8:21Frattin: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Eminger, Boyle, Wolski, Prust, Erixon · TOR Brown, Frattin, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak

  47. P2 8:43Shot by Gaborik, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  48. P2 9:48Shot by Grabovski, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  49. P2 11:34Shot by Stepan, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P2 13:49Shot by Kulemin, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 14:35Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lundqvist
  52. P2 14:44Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P2 15:35Shot by Kessel, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P2 15:37Shot by Grabovski, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P2 16:13Shot by Kulemin, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P2 16:31Shot by Brown, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P2 17:02Shot by Dupuis, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P2 17:07Shot by Dupuis, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P2 17:32Shot by Christensen, saved by Gustavsson
  60. P2 18:10Shot by McDonagh, saved by Gustavsson
  61. P2 19:18Shot by Girardi, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:15Shot by Lupul, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 0:54Shot by Lupul, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 2:09Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 2:11Goal by Lupul (Gardiner, Kessel)+30 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Eminger, Boyle, Wolski, Prust, Erixon · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner

  68. P3 5:49Shot by Steckel, saved by Lundqvist
  69. P3 6:33Goal by MacArthur (Komisarek)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Sauer, Anisimov, Del Zotto, Stepan · TOR Liles, Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin

  70. P3 7:05Shot by Callahan, saved by Gustavsson
  71. P3 7:45Richards: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson

  72. P3 8:17Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  73. P3 11:42Shot by MacArthur, saved by Lundqvist
  74. P3 12:53Shot by Lombardi, saved by Lundqvist
  75. P3 13:54Goal by Brown (Liles)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Eminger, Anisimov, Stepan, Erixon · TOR Liles, Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Brown

  76. P3 14:26Shot by Gaborik, saved by Gustavsson
  77. P3 15:26Goal by Del Zotto, unassisted+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fedotenko, Newbury, Prust, Sauer, Del Zotto · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson

  78. P3 15:58Dubinsky: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh · TOR Lombardi, Komisarek, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Bozak

  79. P3 16:43Shot by Stepan, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  80. P3 18:03Shot by McDonagh, saved by Gustavsson
  81. P3 18:12Shot by Richards, saved by Gustavsson
  82. P3 19:12Shot by Richards, saved by Gustavsson6v5
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final