Sun, Nov 6, 2011·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 6, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 117 | 413 | 18 | 638 |
| CHI | 19 | 120 | 011 | 240 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:00VANDavid BoothPPAssists: Cody Hodgson, Chris Higgins · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–0
- P1 12:57CHIMichael FrolikAssists: Niklas Hjalmarsson · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
- P2 1:16VANAaron RomePPAssists: Cody Hodgson, David Booth · Slap, 0.02 xG2–1
- P2 4:40VANDaniel SedinPPGWGAssists: Henrik Sedin, Dan Hamhuis · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–1
- P2 15:07CHIMarcus KrugerAssists: Jamal Mayers, Viktor Stalberg · Backhand, 0.31 xG3–2
- P2 15:50VANJannik HansenAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.19 xG4–2
- P2 17:50VANDan HamhuisPPAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexander Edler · Slap, 0.03 xG5–2
- P3 9:26VANHenrik SedinPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Daniel Sedin · Backhand, 0.17 xG6–2
Penalties (18)
- P1 4:17CHIBrent Seabrook: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 10:09VANDavid Booth: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:06VANAndrew Alberts: Elbowing2 min
- P1 15:28CHIDaniel Carcillo: High sticking2 min
- P1 19:42CHIPatrick Kane: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 3:53CHIBryan Bickell: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 6:55VANMaxim Lapierre: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 9:39VANAndrew Alberts: Holding2 min
- P2 13:00VANAaron Volpatti: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:00CHIDaniel Carcillo: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 16:11CHIViktor Stalberg: High sticking2 min
- P2 0:00VANKevin Bieksa: Fighting5 min
- P2 0:00CHIJamal Mayers: Fighting5 min
- P3 0:50VANChris Higgins: Holding2 min
- P3 9:06VANAaron Rome: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:06CHIDaniel Carcillo: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 9:06CHIDaniel Carcillo: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 9:06CHIDaniel Carcillo: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Hansen5:23
xG 0.62–0.14 (82%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Booth2:18
xG 0.30–0.04 (90%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
- Higgins – Kesler – Booth8:04
xG 0.31–0.08 (80%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Lapierre – Weise – Volpatti8:34
xG 0.31–0.10 (75%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAlberts – Rome2:35
xG 0.17–0.03 (87%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Rome3:29
xG 0.31–0.18 (64%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
- Bieksa – Alberts10:49
xG 0.89–0.78 (53%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Sharp – Kane8:02
xG 0.57–0.45 (56%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Brunette – Stalberg – Toews7:24
xG 0.47–0.46 (51%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Mayers – Carcillo – Kruger4:34
xG 0.11–0.12 (49%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Bolland – Bickell – Frolik5:40
xG 0.03–0.70 (3%)attempts 3–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMontador – Lepisto5:26
xG 1.23–0.01 (100%)attempts 12–2goals 1–0
- Montador – Leddy7:03
xG 0.13–0.30 (31%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- O'Donnell – Leddy6:56
xG 0.09–0.40 (19%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).