Thu, Nov 10, 2011·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 3, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 312 | 014 | 06 | 332 |
| LAK | 03 | 112 | 115 | 230 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:51VANSami SaloPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Ryan Kesler · Slap, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 7:33VANAndrew EbbettPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Dan Hamhuis · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–0
- P1 15:42VANAaron RomeGWGAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Slap, 0.03 xG3–0
- P2 10:30LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Jack Johnson, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.05 xG3–1
- P3 18:50LAKMike RichardsAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Tip-in, 0.11 xG3–2
Penalties (15)
- P1 3:03LAKTrevor Lewis: Elbowing5 min · PPG
- P1 5:35LAKDrew Doughty: Cross checking2 min
- P1 12:24VANDaniel Sedin: Holding2 min
- P1 16:08LAKColin Fraser: Interference2 min
- P1 19:03LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:03VANDale Weise: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:15VANKeith Ballard: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:51VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:53LAKDustin Brown: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:37VANCody Hodgson: Interference2 min
- P2 19:26LAKJustin Williams: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:26VANJannik Hansen: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:46VANKeith Ballard: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:00LAKMatt Greene: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:21VANAaron Rome: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Kesler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHiggins – Kesler – Booth7:04
xG 0.65–0.05 (93%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Lapierre – Weise – Volpatti7:09
xG 0.15–0.10 (60%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Hansen8:00
xG 0.30–0.34 (47%)attempts 5–8goals 1–0
- Malhotra – Ebbett – Hodgson4:48
xG 0.00–0.38 (0%)attempts 0–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSalo – Edler8:49
xG 0.49–0.17 (74%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Ballard – Rome11:10
xG 0.46–0.23 (66%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa9:44
xG 0.42–0.70 (37%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestGagne – Williams – Kopitar7:30
xG 0.65–0.20 (76%)attempts 15–3goals 0–0
- Moreau – Fraser – Lewis4:54
xG 0.12–0.01 (93%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Hunter – Stoll – Clifford5:34
xG 0.21–0.14 (60%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Brown – Richards – Penner7:33
xG 0.10–0.13 (44%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Johnson7:05
xG 0.51–0.28 (64%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Doughty12:59
xG 0.53–0.50 (51%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Greene – Martinez9:28
xG 0.13–0.49 (21%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).