Sat, Nov 12, 2011·Verizon Center, Washington
New Jersey Devils 3, Washington Capitals 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 08 | 26 | 04 | 01 | 2 | 319 |
| WSH | 29 | 02 | 05 | 01 | 1 | 217 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:30WSHTroy BrouwerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 16:10WSHJason ChimeraAssists: John Carlson, Marcus Johansson · Deflected, 0.17 xG0–2
- P2 12:18NJDPetr SykoraAssists: Dainius Zubrus, Patrik Elias · Slap, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 18:54NJDRyan CarterAssists: Bryce Salvador · Tip-in, 0.05 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. WSH Matt Hendricks stopped
- 2. NJD Zach Parise scored
- 3. WSH Alex Ovechkin scored
- 4. NJD Adam Henrique stopped
- 5. WSH Alexander Semin stopped
- 6. NJD Patrik Elias stopped
- 7. WSH Nicklas Backstrom stopped
- 8. NJD David Clarkson scored
Penalties (10)
- P1 1:49NJDJohan Hedberg: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 3:06WSHAlexander Semin: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:20WSHNicklas Backstrom: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:10NJDAnton Volchenkov: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:51WSHAlex Ovechkin: Interference2 min
- P2 3:18NJDRyan Carter: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:09NJDAnton Volchenkov: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:22WSHMarcus Johansson: Holding2 min
- P3 2:33WSHDennis Wideman: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:13NJDDavid Clarkson: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carter won the faceoff against Perreault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestSykora – Elias – Zubrus10:38
xG 0.26–0.06 (82%)attempts 6–4goals 1–0
- Parise – Palmieri – Henrique12:25
xG 0.33–0.22 (59%)attempts 4–14goals 0–1
- Clarkson – Carter – Tedenby6:45
xG 0.05–0.10 (33%)attempts 2–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Larsson10:55
xG 0.54–0.14 (80%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Tallinder – Fayne12:02
xG 0.36–0.29 (56%)attempts 7–12goals 1–0
- Salvador – Volchenkov14:44
xG 0.25–0.28 (47%)attempts 5–14goals 1–1
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- Chimera – Semin – Johansson6:08
xG 0.07–0.08 (46%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Knuble – Halpern – Hendricks5:00
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Ward – Ovechkin – Backstrom6:38
xG 0.04–0.11 (26%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Brouwer – Perreault – Eakin3:24
xG 0.10–0.30 (25%)attempts 3–3goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Alzner – Carlson16:00
xG 0.32–0.54 (37%)attempts 13–9goals 1–1
- Wideman – Schultz12:15
xG 0.05–0.42 (10%)attempts 9–6goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WSH is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WSH − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).