Thu, Nov 17, 2011·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Boston Bruins 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 05 | 114 | 08 | 04 | 1 | 131 |
| BOS | 06 | 18 | 08 | 05 | 2 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:49CBJDerek MacKenziePPAssists: Nikita Nikitin, Grant Clitsome · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–0
- P2 4:24BOSAdam McQuaidUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. BOS Tyler Seguin stopped
- 2. CBJ Rick Nash stopped
- 3. BOS Rich Peverley scored
- 4. CBJ Mark Letestu scored
- 5. BOS David Krejci scored
- 6. CBJ Antoine Vermette stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 14:15CBJVinny Prospal: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 0:50BOSGregory Campbell: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:35BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:35CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:57BOSBenoit Pouliot: Roughing2 min
- OT 1:05CBJAntoine Vermette: Slashing2 min
- OT 4:08BOSAndrew Ference: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pahlsson won the faceoff against Campbell
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Pahlsson – Vermette – Dorsett9:47
xG 0.16–0.18 (47%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Prospal – Letestu – Johansen11:53
xG 0.11–0.17 (39%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Boll – Brassard4:42
xG 0.04–0.32 (11%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
- Umberger – Nash – Carter13:05
xG 0.16–0.51 (24%)attempts 12–20goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestWisniewski – Methot20:36
xG 0.43–0.35 (55%)attempts 16–16goals 0–0
- Johnson – Clitsome7:56
xG 0.04–0.19 (17%)attempts 2–10goals 0–1
- Tyutin – Nikitin17:42
xG 0.32–0.48 (40%)attempts 17–13goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Seguin12:52
xG 0.42–0.25 (63%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Kelly – Peverley – Pouliot9:12
xG 0.42–0.31 (57%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille6:41
xG 0.09–0.05 (64%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Horton – Krejci – Lucic14:41
xG 0.13–0.11 (53%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Seidenberg2:13
xG 0.21–0.00 (98%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Chara – McQuaid13:33
xG 0.31–0.14 (69%)attempts 17–8goals 1–0
- Ference – Kampfer13:03
xG 0.31–0.31 (50%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).