Thu, Nov 17, 2011·Honda Center, Anaheim
Los Angeles Kings 5, Anaheim Ducks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 014 | 213 | 39 | 536 |
| ANA | 013 | 111 | 214 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:54LAKMike RichardsAssists: Andrei Loktionov, Slava Voynov · Backhand, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 3:19ANAAndrew CoglianoAssists: Saku Koivu, Teemu Selanne · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 7:28LAKSimon GagneSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–1
- P3 2:45LAKSlava VoynovPPAssists: Simon Gagne, Dustin Brown · Wrist, 0.33 xG3–1
- P3 8:24ANACorey PerryPPAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Kurtis Foster · Tip-in, 0.41 xG3–2
- P3 13:35ANAAndrew CoglianoAssists: Luca Sbisa, Teemu Selanne · Deflected, 0.07 xG3–3
- P3 16:59LAKAnze KopitarGWGAssists: Justin Williams, Rob Scuderi · Backhand, 0.08 xG4–3
- P3 18:22LAKMike RichardsENAssists: Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.54 xG5–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 2:51LAKJonathan Quick: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:46LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:46ANASheldon Brookbank: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:38LAKSlava Voynov: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:36ANASaku Koivu: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:49ANAToni Lydman: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 3:28ANAToni Lydman: Interference2 min
- P3 3:28ANAToni Lydman: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 6:29LAKEthan Moreau: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 17:30LAKJack Johnson: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:00ANARyan Getzlaf: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestGagne – Williams – Kopitar11:53
xG 1.03–0.24 (81%)attempts 17–8goals 1–1
- Brown – Richards – Loktionov10:05
xG 0.38–0.35 (53%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- Moreau – Fraser – Lewis4:36
xG 0.13–0.18 (41%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Stoll – Richardson – Clifford9:15
xG 0.16–0.36 (31%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Doughty15:23
xG 0.86–0.63 (58%)attempts 20–14goals 0–1
- Mitchell – Scuderi2:13
xG 0.10–0.02 (84%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Voynov14:12
xG 0.30–0.48 (39%)attempts 8–17goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHagman – McMillan – Smith-Pelly5:00
xG 0.37–0.09 (80%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Hagman – Getzlaf – Perry4:25
xG 0.16–0.01 (93%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Ryan10:03
xG 0.35–0.33 (52%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- Gordon – Beleskey – Macenauer7:22
xG 0.22–0.23 (49%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBrookbank – Sbisa9:24
xG 0.44–0.27 (62%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Lydman – Foster13:43
xG 0.43–0.43 (50%)attempts 15–16goals 0–1
- Beauchemin – Fowler15:25
xG 0.66–0.78 (46%)attempts 18–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).