Wed, Nov 23, 2011·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Anaheim Ducks 2, Phoenix Coyotes 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 15 | 03 | 113 | 221 |
| PHX | 212 | 19 | 18 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:44ANASaku KoivuAssists: Andrew Cogliano, Cam Fowler · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 13:13PHXKeith YandleAssists: Shane Doan, Ray Whitney · Slap, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 16:50PHXRadim VrbataPPAssists: Martin Hanzal, Keith Yandle · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P2 17:31PHXRadim VrbataGWGAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–3
- P3 4:27PHXOliver Ekman-LarssonAssists: Shane Doan · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–4
- P3 13:03ANACorey PerryAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Toni Lydman · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–4
Penalties (13)
- P1 6:58ANARyan Getzlaf: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:51PHXMartin Hanzal: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 15:46ANALuca Sbisa: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 0:24PHXRay Whitney: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:58ANABen Maxwell: Interference2 min
- P2 9:58PHXMike Smith: Diving2 min
- P2 12:16ANAMaxime Macenauer: Holding2 min
- P2 14:17ANASheldon Brookbank: Cross checking2 min
- P2 19:21ANABrandon McMillan: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:43ANARyan Getzlaf: Interference2 min
- P3 16:43ANARyan Getzlaf: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 16:43ANATeemu Selanne: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 16:43ANARyan Getzlaf: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Gordon
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHagman – Gordon – Maxwell2:13
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Selanne – Koivu – Cogliano6:56
xG 0.12–0.07 (62%)attempts 5–5goals 1–0
- Gordon – Macenauer – McMillan3:07
xG 0.19–0.21 (48%)attempts 3–8goals 0–1
- Getzlaf – Perry – Ryan7:04
xG 0.05–0.11 (33%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLydman – Fowler9:01
xG 0.41–0.12 (77%)attempts 10–8goals 2–1
- Sbisa – Fowler2:44
xG 0.10–0.02 (87%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Foster – Brookbank6:53
xG 0.16–0.07 (68%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestWhitney – Doan – Gordon8:59
xG 0.69–0.30 (70%)attempts 14–9goals 2–1
- Pyatt – Vrbata – Hanzal10:16
xG 0.25–0.15 (63%)attempts 9–4goals 1–1
- Torres – O'Sullivan – Chipchura6:00
xG 0.34–0.29 (54%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Korpikoski – O'Reilly – Boedker8:48
xG 0.25–0.48 (34%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAucoin – Ekman-Larsson13:38
xG 0.75–0.44 (63%)attempts 19–7goals 2–1
- Morris – Yandle11:41
xG 0.60–0.50 (54%)attempts 11–16goals 1–0
- Klesla – Schlemko13:45
xG 0.32–0.28 (53%)attempts 14–6goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).