Tue, Dec 13, 2011·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Vancouver Canucks 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 05 | 014 | 111 | 02 | 1 | 132 |
| CBJ | 110 | 011 | 06 | 03 | 3 | 230 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:32CBJJeff CarterPPAssists: James Wisniewski, Mark Letestu · Backhand, 0.31 xG0–1
- P3 8:03VANMaxim LapierreAssists: Chris Higgins · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Mark Letestu scored
- 2. VAN Cody Hodgson stopped
- 3. CBJ Rick Nash scored
- 4. VAN Alexandre Burrows scored
- 5. CBJ James Wisniewski scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 8:30VANHenrik Sedin: Cross checking2 min
- P1 8:30CBJFedor Tyutin: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:53VANRyan Kesler: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 14:52VANDale Weise: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:13CBJDane Byers: High sticking2 min
- P2 1:38CBJDerick Brassard: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:33CBJRyan Johansen: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:00VANAlexandre Burrows: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 13:37CBJRick Nash: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Carter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestKesler – Hansen – Raymond4:29
xG 0.30–0.02 (92%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Malhotra – Higgins – Lapierre4:09
xG 0.13–0.00 (98%)attempts 1–3goals 1–0
- Higgins – Kesler – Hansen5:46
xG 0.32–0.27 (54%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Lapierre – Raymond – Hodgson3:27
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Bieksa14:00
xG 0.65–0.43 (60%)attempts 17–13goals 1–0
- Ballard – Rome2:42
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Alberts – Ballard6:19
xG 0.09–0.09 (52%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Brassard – Johansen6:28
xG 0.17–0.04 (80%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Vermette – Brassard – Letestu2:08
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Prospal – Nash – Carter13:55
xG 0.48–0.53 (48%)attempts 13–14goals 0–1
- MacKenzie – Umberger – Byers8:41
xG 0.24–0.37 (40%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWisniewski – Methot9:46
xG 0.38–0.31 (55%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Nikitin15:26
xG 0.47–0.46 (51%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Clitsome – Moore8:37
xG 0.12–0.19 (38%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).