Sat, Dec 17, 2011·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Boston Bruins 6, Philadelphia Flyers 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 416 | 111 | 110 | 637 |
| PHI | 014 | 09 | 08 | 031 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:27BOSBenoit PouliotGWGAssists: Rich Peverley · Deflected, 0.13 xG1–0
- P1 2:50BOSDaniel PailleAssists: Dennis Seidenberg, Joe Corvo · Wrist, 0.46 xG2–0
- P1 8:08BOSZdeno CharaPPAssists: David Krejci, Rich Peverley · Slap, 0.02 xG3–0
- P1 17:10BOSMilan LucicPPAssists: Joe Corvo, Tyler Seguin · Tip-in, 0.37 xG4–0
- P2 7:06BOSNathan HortonPPAssists: Zdeno Chara, Rich Peverley · Wrist, 0.40 xG5–0
- P3 12:12BOSTyler SeguinAssists: Brad Marchand, Andrew Ference · Snap, 0.06 xG6–0
Penalties (26)
- P1 2:13BOSZdeno Chara: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:13PHIJody Shelley: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:52BOSJoe Corvo: Interference2 min
- P1 7:59PHIZac Rinaldo: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P1 8:38PHIMax Talbot: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:40BOSShawn Thornton: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 15:22PHIScott Hartnell: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 15:26PHIBraydon Coburn: Delaying game2 min
- P1 17:48BOSJohnny Boychuk: Instigator2 min
- P1 17:48BOSJohnny Boychuk: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:48BOSJohnny Boychuk: Misconduct10 min
- P1 17:48PHIScott Hartnell: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:12BOSRich Peverley: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:12PHIJakub Voracek: Roughing2 min
- P2 6:08PHIJames van Riemsdyk: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 8:22PHIDaniel Brière: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 8:59BOSBenoit Pouliot: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:21BOSMilan Lucic: Checking from behind5 min
- P2 16:21BOSMilan Lucic: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 16:21BOSNathan Horton: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:21PHIZac Rinaldo: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:59PHIZac Rinaldo: Misconduct10 min
- P3 6:22BOSChris Kelly: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:33PHIZac Rinaldo: Cross checking2 min
- P3 16:35BOSBrad Marchand: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:29PHIJames van Riemsdyk: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Brière won the faceoff against Kelly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Seguin3:29
xG 0.71–0.12 (85%)attempts 7–1goals 1–0
- Thornton – Bergeron – Marchand3:38
xG 0.45–0.05 (89%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Kelly – Peverley – Pouliot2:03
xG 0.13–0.01 (92%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Kelly – Pouliot – Hamill2:17
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCorvo – Seidenberg10:06
xG 1.14–0.09 (93%)attempts 16–8goals 2–0
- Chara – McQuaid3:29
xG 0.40–0.07 (86%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Ference – McQuaid7:19
xG 0.32–0.25 (56%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestTalbot – van Riemsdyk – Voracek9:06
xG 0.42–0.13 (76%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Jagr – Brière – Hartnell4:11
xG 0.17–0.07 (72%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Brière – Simmonds – Read3:11
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
- Jagr – Hartnell – Couturier2:30
xG 0.07–0.24 (23%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCarle – Bourdon8:04
xG 0.26–0.16 (62%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Timonen – Coburn5:34
xG 0.31–0.35 (47%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Coburn – Bourdon5:34
xG 0.11–0.17 (39%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).