Sat, Dec 17, 2011·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
New York Rangers 3, Phoenix Coyotes 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 19 | 08 | 213 | 330 |
| PHX | 15 | 112 | 06 | 223 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:34NYRMarian GaborikPPAssists: Michael Del Zotto, Derek Stepan · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–0
- P1 19:51PHXLauri KorpikoskiSHAssists: Boyd Gordon · Snap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 19:08PHXCal O'ReillyPPAssists: Shane Doan, Radim Vrbata · Wrist, 0.36 xG1–2
- P3 1:09NYRMarian GaborikUnassisted · Wrist, 0.37 xG2–2
- P3 19:59NYRBrad RichardsGWGAssists: Ryan McDonagh, Ryan Callahan · Backhand, 0.02 xG3–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 8:15PHXTaylor Pyatt: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 11:47PHXShane Doan: Interference2 min
- P1 13:08PHXMichal Rozsival: High sticking2 min
- P1 18:15PHXRaffi Torres: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:15NYRMike Rupp: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:15PHXRaffi Torres: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:54PHXShane Doan: Interference2 min
- P2 17:01NYRRuslan Fedotenko: Interference2 min
- P2 18:10NYRAnton Stralman: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 17:22PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Langkow won the faceoff against Richards
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestBoyle – Mitchell – Hagelin10:49
xG 0.43–0.18 (70%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Fedotenko – Gaborik – Stepan11:09
xG 0.24–0.01 (97%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Richards – Dubinsky – Callahan12:27
xG 0.33–0.23 (60%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
- Rupp – Christensen – Prust4:11
xG 0.19–0.12 (62%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGirardi – McDonagh14:38
xG 0.58–0.27 (68%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Woywitka – Stralman4:11
xG 0.31–0.05 (86%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Girardi – Del Zotto6:21
xG 0.21–0.03 (87%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestLangkow – Doan – Boedker11:35
xG 0.41–0.20 (67%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Torres – Gordon – Chipchura7:46
xG 0.28–0.13 (69%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Pyatt – Korpikoski – O'Reilly8:07
xG 0.14–0.41 (26%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Whitney – Vrbata – Hanzal13:08
xG 0.03–0.42 (8%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Aucoin – Ekman-Larsson12:00
xG 0.35–0.34 (50%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Summers13:25
xG 0.18–0.21 (46%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Yandle2:18
xG 0.10–0.30 (25%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).