Mon, Dec 19, 2011·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Minnesota Wild 0, Vancouver Canucks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 013 | 09 | 011 | 033 |
| VAN | 19 | 213 | 111 | 433 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:52VANHenrik SedinPPGWGAssists: Daniel Sedin, Alexander Edler · Deflected, 0.10 xG0–1
- P2 10:28VANRyan KeslerPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–2
- P2 18:01VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Deflected, 0.12 xG0–3
- P3 16:34VANJannik HansenAssists: Cody Hodgson, Manny Malhotra · Wrist, 0.26 xG0–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 17:52MINColton Gillies: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 2:36MINDarroll Powe: Holding2 min
- P2 7:25VANRyan Kesler: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:38MINDany Heatley: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 5:33MINBrad Staubitz: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:33VANAndrew Alberts: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cullen won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestPeters – Ortmeyer – Palmer9:57
xG 0.19–0.11 (64%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Cullen – Heatley – Bouchard13:59
xG 0.56–0.48 (54%)attempts 16–15goals 0–0
- Brodziak – Johnson – Clutterbuck13:37
xG 0.23–0.39 (37%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Staubitz – Powe – Gillies7:11
xG 0.03–0.51 (6%)attempts 2–7goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestZidlicky – Stoner19:03
xG 0.44–0.20 (68%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Scandella – Spurgeon17:56
xG 0.47–0.42 (53%)attempts 15–20goals 0–1
- Schultz – Lundin13:38
xG 0.59–0.91 (40%)attempts 13–13goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMalhotra – Hansen – Hodgson10:40
xG 0.56–0.28 (67%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
- Higgins – Kesler – Raymond11:29
xG 0.40–0.37 (53%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows11:36
xG 0.36–0.32 (53%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Lapierre – Mancari – Weise8:01
xG 0.05–0.09 (33%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAlberts – Sulzer13:39
xG 0.51–0.17 (75%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- Salo – Edler15:50
xG 0.55–0.56 (50%)attempts 12–13goals 1–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa19:55
xG 0.45–0.74 (38%)attempts 19–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).