Tue, Dec 20, 2011·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 010 | 09 | 219 | 238 |
| PIT | 113 | 211 | 04 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:02PITChris KunitzPPAssists: Evgeni Malkin, Matt Niskanen · Wrist, 0.28 xG0–1
- P2 2:45PITJames NealAssists: Evgeni Malkin, Matt Niskanen · Snap, 0.05 xG0–2
- P2 16:34PITTyler KennedyGWGAssists: Ben Lovejoy, Evgeni Malkin · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–3
- P3 0:49CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Viktor Stalberg · Backhand, 0.03 xG1–3
- P3 6:12CHIViktor StalbergAssists: Patrick Kane, Marian Hossa · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–3
Penalties (13)
- P1 6:11CHINick Leddy: Interference2 min
- P1 8:55PITDeryk Engelland: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:55CHIJohn Scott: Instigator2 min · PPG
- P1 8:55CHIJohn Scott: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:55CHIJohn Scott: Misconduct10 min
- P1 10:45CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:38PITJason Williams: Tripping2 min
- P2 4:31CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:45CHIDave Bolland: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:54PITJames Neal: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:22CHIBryan Bickell: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 16:15PITJames Neal: Cross checking2 min
- P3 18:31PITJames Neal: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Malkin won the faceoff against Bolland
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBrunette – Sharp – Toews6:02
xG 0.37–0.13 (75%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Hossa – Stalberg – Kane4:11
xG 0.30–0.12 (72%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Hossa – Sharp – Bolland2:13
xG 0.12–0.01 (94%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Toews – Kane – Morin3:47
xG 0.18–0.10 (65%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook13:14
xG 0.92–0.74 (55%)attempts 17–12goals 1–1
- Keith – Leddy2:09
xG 0.15–0.05 (73%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Hjalmarsson – Leddy9:08
xG 0.22–0.14 (62%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestAsham – Dupuis – Vitale2:34
xG 0.15–0.02 (90%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Sullivan – Dupuis – Vitale6:19
xG 0.07–0.06 (52%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Kunitz – Malkin – Neal9:30
xG 0.30–0.46 (40%)attempts 10–8goals 1–1
- Cooke – Kennedy – Staal8:07
xG 0.30–0.62 (32%)attempts 6–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestOrpik – Niskanen12:37
xG 0.75–0.61 (55%)attempts 13–11goals 1–2
- Orpik – Lovejoy3:06
xG 0.14–0.14 (51%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Orpik – Engelland2:26
xG 0.04–0.24 (15%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).