Thu, Dec 22, 2011·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 2, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 09 | 16 | 15 | 02 | 1 | 222 |
| LAK | 013 | 112 | 18 | 01 | 2 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 13:55ANANiklas HagmanAssists: Lubomir Visnovsky, Luca Sbisa · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–0
- P2 16:17LAKMike RichardsAssists: Drew Doughty · Tip-in, 0.05 xG1–1
- P3 8:02LAKDustin BrownAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P3 16:49ANALubomir VisnovskyAssists: Niklas Hagman, Toni Lydman · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Jarret Stoll scored
- 2. ANA Corey Perry scored
- 3. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 4. ANA Teemu Selanne stopped
- 5. LAK Dustin Brown scored
- 6. ANA Kyle Palmieri stopped
Penalties (11)
- P1 7:03LAKColin Fraser: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:36ANAMatt Beleskey: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:36LAKColin Fraser: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:15LAKKyle Clifford: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:05ANAMatt Beleskey: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:46ANALuca Sbisa: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:40ANARyan Getzlaf: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:04ANARyan Getzlaf: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 11:04LAKColin Fraser: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- OT 1:55LAKDrew Doughty: Holding2 min
- OT 4:30ANABobby Ryan: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- Hagman – Getzlaf – Perry14:05
xG 0.43–0.39 (52%)attempts 11–11goals 1–2
- Cogliano – Beleskey – Palmieri7:59
xG 0.25–0.23 (52%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Parros – Gordon – Pelley3:35
xG 0.04–0.11 (29%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Selanne – Ryan – Bonino10:47
xG 0.02–0.96 (2%)attempts 2–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Lydman – Visnovsky19:00
xG 0.45–0.50 (48%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
- Beauchemin – Fowler16:06
xG 0.32–0.37 (47%)attempts 8–10goals 0–2
- Brookbank – Sbisa9:27
xG 0.19–1.10 (15%)attempts 8–22goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Richardson – Kopitar12:15
xG 0.77–0.18 (81%)attempts 16–5goals 1–0
- Williams – Stoll – Penner10:55
xG 0.43–0.33 (57%)attempts 11–8goals 0–1
- Fraser – Westgarth – Clifford4:05
xG 0.11–0.04 (71%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Gagne – Richards – Lewis11:29
xG 0.53–0.53 (50%)attempts 10–15goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Voynov14:41
xG 1.25–0.19 (87%)attempts 18–8goals 0–0
- Scuderi – Doughty17:31
xG 0.52–0.52 (50%)attempts 18–12goals 2–0
- Greene – Johnson13:08
xG 0.25–0.51 (33%)attempts 10–10goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).