Fri, Dec 23, 2011·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 1, San Jose Sharks 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 07 | 110 | 09 | 03 | 0 | 129 |
| SJS | 05 | 115 | 014 | 01 | 1 | 235 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 7:53SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Ryane Clowe, Patrick Marleau · Snap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 18:52LAKMike RichardsPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.08 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. SJS Joe Pavelski stopped
- 2. LAK Jarret Stoll stopped
- 3. SJS Michal Handzus stopped
- 4. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 5. SJS Dan Boyle stopped
- 6. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
- 7. SJS Ryane Clowe scored
- 8. LAK Mike Richards stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 3:55LAKTrent Hunter: Interference2 min
- P1 13:08SJSJason Demers: Interference2 min
- P1 17:56LAKDustin Brown: Boarding2 min
- P2 9:52LAKJarret Stoll: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:59SJSRyane Clowe: Interference2 min
- P2 13:58SJSAndrew Desjardins: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 13:58LAKColin Fraser: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 17:55SJSLogan Couture: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 6:26LAKBrad Richardson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 11:51LAKJustin Williams: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Richardson – Kopitar11:27
xG 0.43–0.24 (64%)attempts 14–9goals 0–1
- Gagne – Richards – Lewis9:00
xG 0.07–0.23 (23%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
- Hunter – Fraser – Clifford6:00
xG 0.20–0.42 (32%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
- Williams – Stoll – Penner9:21
xG 0.20–0.42 (32%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Johnson7:56
xG 0.54–0.19 (74%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Johnson3:11
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Scuderi – Doughty15:55
xG 0.25–0.65 (28%)attempts 12–19goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Pavelski – Ferriero9:12
xG 0.46–0.08 (85%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Marleau – Clowe – Couture11:28
xG 0.35–0.15 (70%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
- Winchester – Murray – Desjardins4:55
xG 0.30–0.11 (73%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Handzus – Mitchell – McGinn9:29
xG 0.26–0.44 (37%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWhite – Burns3:11
xG 0.26–0.06 (82%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Burns – Demers10:16
xG 0.57–0.39 (59%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
- White – Braun8:26
xG 0.15–0.08 (65%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).