Mon, Dec 26, 2011·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 013 | 011 | 114 | 138 |
| CHI | 05 | 312 | 15 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:48CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Marian Hossa, Sean O'Donnell · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 8:13CHIViktor StalbergGWGAssists: Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–2
- P2 15:48CHIViktor StalbergAssists: Dave Bolland, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–3
- P3 3:09CBJJames WisniewskiAssists: Derek MacKenzie, Mark Letestu · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–3
- P3 15:45CHIMarian HossaPPAssists: Dave Bolland, Andrew Brunette · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 2:44CBJAntoine Vermette: Hooking2 min
- P1 4:59CBJRick Nash: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:12CHIBrent Seabrook: Cross checking2 min
- P3 4:56CHIDuncan Keith: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:58CBJVinny Prospal: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pirri won the faceoff against Pahlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Umberger – Nash4:12
xG 0.43–0.03 (94%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Pahlsson – Umberger – Johansen4:26
xG 0.39–0.05 (88%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Prospal – Carter – Dorsett9:16
xG 0.47–0.22 (68%)attempts 9–6goals 0–1
- Vermette – Nash – Brassard7:47
xG 0.60–0.40 (60%)attempts 10–7goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Nikitin14:11
xG 1.01–0.43 (70%)attempts 13–12goals 0–2
- Wisniewski – Moore13:41
xG 0.78–0.23 (77%)attempts 20–8goals 1–0
- Johnson – Methot14:42
xG 0.85–0.37 (70%)attempts 12–7goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Bolland – Bickell – Stalberg7:48
xG 0.42–0.41 (50%)attempts 11–4goals 2–0
- Mayers – Frolik – Kruger8:34
xG 0.17–0.18 (49%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Brunette – Toews – Kane11:18
xG 0.19–0.60 (24%)attempts 4–10goals 0–1
- Hossa – Sharp – Pirri10:51
xG 0.15–0.69 (18%)attempts 4–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- O'Donnell – Montador11:34
xG 0.14–0.47 (23%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
- Hjalmarsson – Leddy17:00
xG 0.49–0.94 (34%)attempts 10–17goals 1–1
- Keith – Seabrook17:09
xG 0.39–1.16 (25%)attempts 13–17goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).