Mon, Dec 26, 2011·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Phoenix Coyotes 3, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 17 | 110 | 112 | 329 |
| LAK | 215 | 08 | 212 | 435 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:09LAKRob ScuderiAssists: Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 5:58PHXRaffi TorresUnassisted · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P1 13:48LAKBrad RichardsonAssists: Slava Voynov, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–2
- P2 13:03PHXRaffi TorresAssists: Patrick O'Sullivan, David Schlemko · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–2
- P3 1:48LAKWillie MitchellAssists: Dustin Penner, Justin Williams · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–3
- P3 7:06LAKDustin BrownGWGAssists: Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–4
- P3 7:39PHXDaymond LangkowAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.27 xG3–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 9:41LAKWillie Mitchell: Interference2 min
- P1 13:54PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Interference2 min
- P2 8:41LAKDustin Brown: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 19:26PHXRaffi Torres: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:29PHXMichal Rozsival: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Langkow
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestLangkow – Doan – Boedker13:35
xG 0.99–0.40 (71%)attempts 15–9goals 1–2
- Pyatt – Bissonnette – Chipchura4:52
xG 0.23–0.13 (64%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Whitney – Pyatt – Chipchura2:39
xG 0.10–0.14 (42%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Torres – O'Sullivan – O'Reilly11:16
xG 0.36–0.53 (41%)attempts 10–13goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestRozsival – Ekman-Larsson17:54
xG 0.86–0.42 (67%)attempts 13–14goals 2–1
- Klesla – Schlemko13:19
xG 0.51–0.58 (47%)attempts 14–18goals 0–2
- Morris – Yandle12:09
xG 0.44–0.54 (45%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Richardson – Kopitar10:19
xG 0.39–0.05 (88%)attempts 10–7goals 2–0
- Williams – Stoll – Penner11:31
xG 0.51–0.36 (59%)attempts 17–9goals 1–2
- Brown – Fraser – Kopitar2:55
xG 0.12–0.01 (91%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- Richards – Richardson – Lewis4:12
xG 0.17–0.10 (64%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Johnson10:27
xG 0.45–0.23 (66%)attempts 13–8goals 1–1
- Scuderi – Doughty18:18
xG 0.58–0.79 (42%)attempts 14–16goals 1–1
- Mitchell – Voynov15:19
xG 0.41–0.93 (30%)attempts 15–17goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).