Wed, Dec 28, 2011·United Center, Chicago
Los Angeles Kings 2, Chicago Blackhawks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 013 | 115 | 110 | 238 |
| CHI | 010 | 010 | 018 | 038 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 12:07LAKTrent HunterGWGAssists: Kyle Clifford, Colin Fraser · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–0
- P3 1:16LAKJarret StollAssists: Justin Williams, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–0
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:31CHIJohn Scott: Roughing2 min
- P1 5:53CHIPatrick Sharp: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 14:40LAKBrad Richardson: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:29LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min
- P2 9:51LAKBrad Richardson: Slashing2 min
- P2 16:38CHIJonathan Toews: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway0 min
- P3 15:28LAKDustin Brown: Holding2 min
- P3 18:26CHIBrandon Pirri: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWilliams – Stoll – Penner8:19
xG 0.72–0.20 (78%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Brown – Richardson – Kopitar13:42
xG 0.77–0.63 (55%)attempts 21–18goals 0–0
- Hunter – Fraser – Clifford8:57
xG 0.85–0.73 (54%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Richards – Lewis – Loktionov8:27
xG 0.17–0.28 (37%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Johnson13:46
xG 0.93–0.60 (61%)attempts 13–17goals 1–0
- Scuderi – Doughty12:40
xG 1.59–1.32 (55%)attempts 22–17goals 1–0
- Mitchell – Voynov13:48
xG 0.15–0.27 (36%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Frolik – Toews2:53
xG 0.63–0.05 (93%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Brunette – Toews – Kane7:26
xG 0.33–0.17 (67%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Hossa – Sharp – Pirri4:12
xG 0.12–0.03 (80%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Mayers – Frolik – Scott2:55
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook17:04
xG 1.25–0.40 (76%)attempts 22–17goals 0–0
- Montador – Hjalmarsson2:43
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- O'Donnell – Montador7:58
xG 0.14–0.73 (16%)attempts 4–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).