Thu, Dec 29, 2011·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 5, Anaheim Ducks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 213 | 28 | 110 | 531 |
| ANA | 08 | 013 | 211 | 232 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:11VANHenrik SedinAssists: Alexandre Burrows · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 18:29VANCody HodgsonAssists: Dale Weise, Keith Ballard · Wrist, 0.21 xG2–0
- P2 3:28VANMason RaymondGWGAssists: Ryan Kesler, Alexander Edler · Tip-in, 0.14 xG3–0
- P2 7:59VANDaniel SedinAssists: Henrik Sedin, Kevin Bieksa · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–0
- P3 6:11ANABobby RyanAssists: Teemu Selanne, Luca Sbisa · Slap, 0.11 xG4–1
- P3 14:24ANANick BoninoAssists: Andrew Gordon, Matt Beleskey · Wrist, 0.08 xG4–2
- P3 16:02VANDaniel SedinAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexandre Burrows · Wrist, 0.10 xG5–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 11:18VANDan Hamhuis: Interference2 min
- P2 8:35VANKeith Ballard: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:10VANDan Hamhuis: Cross checking2 min
- P2 15:51VANAndrew Alberts: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:09VANKevin Bieksa: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:58ANAToni Lydman: Cross checking2 min
- P3 17:34VANAlexander Edler: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cogliano won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows9:53
xG 0.52–0.10 (84%)attempts 11–3goals 3–0
- Ebbett – Hodgson – Weise8:04
xG 0.39–0.20 (66%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
- Kesler – Hansen – Raymond10:36
xG 0.77–0.69 (53%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
- Malhotra – Lapierre – Mancari7:15
xG 0.11–0.35 (24%)attempts 2–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAlberts – Ballard9:46
xG 0.61–0.31 (67%)attempts 9–8goals 2–0
- Salo – Edler12:27
xG 0.49–0.27 (65%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Salo – Alberts2:29
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHagman – Getzlaf – Perry9:17
xG 0.54–0.14 (80%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
- Gordon – Cogliano – Beleskey8:22
xG 0.32–0.15 (69%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Selanne – Ryan – Bonino6:33
xG 0.31–0.13 (70%)attempts 10–4goals 0–1
- Perry – Ryan – Cogliano2:03
xG 0.03–0.01 (73%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBrookbank – Sbisa11:20
xG 0.48–0.19 (71%)attempts 18–7goals 0–0
- Beauchemin – Visnovsky3:33
xG 0.07–0.05 (55%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Beauchemin – Fowler14:43
xG 0.77–0.83 (48%)attempts 11–12goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).