Sat, Dec 31, 2011·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 1, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 17 | 014 | 07 | 128 |
| LAK | 115 | 212 | 16 | 433 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:06VANKevin BieksaAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 9:13LAKBrad RichardsonAssists: Andrei Loktionov, Slava Voynov · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 8:20LAKMatt GreeneGWGAssists: Andrei Loktionov · Tip-in, 0.01 xG1–2
- P2 13:08LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Justin Williams, Jack Johnson · Backhand, 0.06 xG1–3
- P3 9:33LAKJustin WilliamsPPAssists: Slava Voynov, Jarret Stoll · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–4
Penalties (14)
- P1 4:12LAKJarret Stoll: Roughing2 min
- P2 3:08LAKColin Fraser: Interference2 min
- P2 5:40VANManny Malhotra: Holding2 min
- P2 8:20VANKeith Ballard: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:20LAKBrad Richardson: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:59LAKMike Richards: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 4:15VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:07VANDaniel Sedin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 10:53LAKKyle Clifford: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:53LAKKyle Clifford: Misconduct10 min
- P3 10:53VANKeith Ballard: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:53VANKeith Ballard: Misconduct10 min
- P3 12:56VANJannik Hansen: Cross checking2 min
- P3 14:06VANMason Raymond: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestKesler – Hansen – Raymond10:04
xG 0.67–0.39 (63%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Malhotra – Lapierre – Mancari6:20
xG 0.03–0.10 (22%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows9:31
xG 0.27–0.41 (40%)attempts 7–5goals 1–1
- Ebbett – Hodgson – Weise8:02
xG 0.27–0.83 (25%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Edler2:01
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa11:54
xG 0.74–0.88 (46%)attempts 19–12goals 0–2
- Salo – Edler10:45
xG 0.20–0.50 (29%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Lewis – Loktionov9:35
xG 0.84–0.39 (68%)attempts 10–9goals 2–0
- Williams – Stoll – Penner12:00
xG 0.77–0.53 (59%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- Hunter – Fraser – Clifford4:18
xG 0.02–0.10 (18%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
- Brown – Richards – Kopitar9:26
xG 0.14–0.31 (30%)attempts 5–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Voynov10:40
xG 1.23–0.14 (90%)attempts 16–5goals 1–0
- Scuderi – Doughty11:53
xG 0.53–0.23 (69%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
- Greene – Johnson14:34
xG 0.36–0.87 (29%)attempts 7–19goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).