Mon, Jan 2, 2012·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
San Jose Sharks 3, Vancouver Canucks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 07 | 217 | 09 | 02 | 1 | 335 |
| VAN | 19 | 07 | 111 | 02 | 0 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:42VANJannik HansenAssists: Cody Hodgson · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 1:34SJSBenn FerrieroAssists: Ryane Clowe, Logan Couture · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 10:32SJSPatrick MarleauAssists: Justin Braun, Joe Pavelski · Backhand, 0.22 xG2–1
- P3 11:35VANCody HodgsonPPAssists: Dan Hamhuis, Kevin Bieksa · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. VAN Alexandre Burrows stopped
- 2. SJS Ryane Clowe stopped
- 3. VAN Cody Hodgson stopped
- 4. SJS Joe Pavelski stopped
- 5. VAN Ryan Kesler stopped
- 6. SJS Michal Handzus scored
Penalties (11)
- P1 2:57SJSDouglas Murray: Holding2 min
- P1 16:13SJSDouglas Murray: Interference2 min
- P1 17:24VANAlexandre Burrows: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:05SJSJason Demers: High sticking2 min
- P2 3:02VANAndrew Ebbett: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:48SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Slashing2 min
- P2 19:48VANAlexandre Burrows: Slashing2 min
- P3 1:40SJSJason Demers: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:31SJSBrent Burns: High sticking2 min
- P3 6:05VANRoberto Luongo: Delaying game2 min
- P3 10:31SJSRyane Clowe: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestClowe – Ferriero – Couture6:59
xG 0.42–0.07 (86%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Thornton – Marleau – Pavelski9:39
xG 0.48–0.19 (72%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Ferriero2:04
xG 0.23–0.11 (68%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Winchester – Murray – Desjardins3:02
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurray – Braun9:43
xG 0.46–0.06 (89%)attempts 7–10goals 1–0
- Boyle – Vlasic14:52
xG 0.55–0.25 (69%)attempts 14–15goals 1–0
- Murray – Burns2:10
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHiggins – Kesler – Raymond7:41
xG 0.25–0.06 (82%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Hansen – Ebbett – Hodgson4:57
xG 0.13–0.10 (56%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows10:36
xG 0.26–0.29 (47%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Higgins – Kesler – Hodgson2:27
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSalo – Edler10:37
xG 0.26–0.09 (73%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Edler3:19
xG 0.09–0.12 (44%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Alberts – Ballard7:56
xG 0.01–0.17 (6%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).