Tue, Jan 3, 2012·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Phoenix Coyotes 1, St. Louis Blues 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 19 | 016 | 010 | 135 |
| STL | 211 | 115 | 15 | 431 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:43STLChris StewartAssists: David Backes, David Perron · Backhand, 0.28 xG0–1
- P1 16:00STLJamie LangenbrunnerGWGAssists: Barret Jackman, Vladimir Sobotka · Slap, 0.07 xG0–2
- P1 18:49PHXRadim VrbataPPAssists: Keith Yandle, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P2 4:28STLT.J. OshiePPAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, David Perron · Backhand, 0.35 xG1–3
- P3 19:22STLPatrik BerglundENAssists: Jamie Langenbrunner, Alex Pietrangelo · Backhand, 0.69 xG1–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 0:32STLKevin Shattenkirk: Interference2 min
- P1 13:27PHXShane Doan: Interference2 min
- P1 17:36STLVladimir Sobotka: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 3:22PHXKeith Yandle: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 15:53STLVladimir Sobotka: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:22STLT.J. Oshie: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Berglund won the faceoff against Langkow
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestPyatt – Pouliot – Bissonnette4:07
xG 0.44–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Whitney – Vrbata – Pouliot2:35
xG 0.34–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Whitney – Vrbata – Chipchura8:09
xG 0.40–0.28 (58%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Pyatt – Bissonnette – Chipchura2:56
xG 0.14–0.05 (74%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Schlemko12:30
xG 0.62–0.15 (81%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Yandle4:40
xG 0.22–0.17 (56%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Klesla7:28
xG 0.28–0.32 (47%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestBackes – Stewart – Perron9:49
xG 0.93–0.42 (69%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
- Arnott – Langenbrunner – Sobotka9:36
xG 0.22–0.32 (40%)attempts 5–13goals 0–0
- Nichol – Crombeen – Grachev9:17
xG 0.09–0.27 (25%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
- Oshie – D'Agostini – Berglund11:42
xG 0.27–0.50 (35%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJackman – Shattenkirk16:12
xG 1.09–0.53 (67%)attempts 18–16goals 2–0
- Polak – Fairchild12:18
xG 0.31–0.55 (36%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
- Colaiacovo – Pietrangelo14:23
xG 0.39–0.68 (37%)attempts 10–18goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).