Wed, Jan 4, 2012·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 6, New Jersey Devils 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 211 | 18 | 38 | 627 |
| NJD | 116 | 07 | 08 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:24NJDDavid ClarksonPPAssists: Zach Parise · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 8:15BOSGregory CampbellAssists: Andrew Ference, Chris Kelly · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–1
- P1 13:17BOSNathan HortonGWGAssists: David Krejci, Milan Lucic · Snap, 0.15 xG2–1
- P2 4:02BOSPatrice BergeronUnassisted · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–1
- P3 2:13BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Brad Marchand, Tyler Seguin · Snap, 0.10 xG4–1
- P3 4:50BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Dennis Seidenberg, Milan Lucic · Tip-in, 0.11 xG5–1
- P3 14:23BOSShawn ThorntonAssists: Daniel Paille, Dennis Seidenberg · Snap, 0.11 xG6–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:07NJDCam Janssen: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:07BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 2:38BOSJohnny Boychuk: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 12:36NJDHenrik Tallinder: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 1:56BOSNathan Horton: Holding2 min
- P2 6:17BOSChris Kelly: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 6:17BOSBenoit Pouliot: Misconduct10 min
- P2 11:09NJDAdam Larsson: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:32NJDHenrik Tallinder: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Peverley won the faceoff against Henrique
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Seguin8:48
xG 0.29–0.11 (73%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille9:16
xG 0.30–0.13 (70%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Kelly – Peverley – Pouliot9:44
xG 0.43–0.31 (58%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Horton – Krejci – Lucic10:22
xG 0.24–0.30 (44%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestFerence – McQuaid12:46
xG 0.43–0.23 (65%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
- Chara – Boychuk13:35
xG 0.44–0.44 (50%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Corvo – Ference2:50
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestKovalchuk – Parise – Henrique11:54
xG 0.38–0.22 (64%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Boulton – Janssen – Sestito7:23
xG 0.08–0.07 (51%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Clarkson – Carter – Tedenby9:57
xG 0.28–0.36 (44%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
- Sykora – Elias – Zubrus10:28
xG 0.00–0.40 (1%)attempts 3–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSalvador – Fayne7:35
xG 0.17–0.04 (81%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Tallinder – Fayne5:33
xG 0.37–0.29 (55%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
- Fayne – Taormina2:49
xG 0.02–0.06 (24%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).