Sat, Jan 7, 2012·TD Garden, Boston
Vancouver Canucks 4, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 110 | 216 | 110 | 436 |
| BOS | 18 | 112 | 119 | 339 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:41VANRyan KeslerPPAssists: Sami Salo, Daniel Sedin · Snap, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 14:57BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Tyler Seguin, Patrice Bergeron · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 7:12BOSRich PeverleyAssists: Benoit Pouliot · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P2 15:21VANAlexandre BurrowsPPAssists: Cody Hodgson, Kevin Bieksa · Snap, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 19:47VANHenrik SedinPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Kevin Bieksa · Tip-in, 0.06 xG3–2
- P3 1:09VANCody HodgsonPPGWGAssists: Dan Hamhuis · Slap, 0.04 xG4–2
- P3 1:51BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Joe Corvo · Backhand, 0.25 xG4–3
Penalties (30)
- P1 0:17VANRyan Kesler: Interference2 min
- P1 3:54VANDale Weise: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:54VANAlexandre Burrows: Slashing2 min
- P1 3:54BOSMilan Lucic: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 3:54BOSShawn Thornton: Roughing2 min
- P1 3:54BOSShawn Thornton: Slashing2 min
- P1 3:54BOSMilan Lucic: Leaving players penalty bench10 min
- P1 3:54VANMaxim Lapierre: Misconduct10 min
- P1 3:54BOSNathan Horton: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:54VANAlexandre Burrows: Misconduct10 min
- P1 9:43VANDaniel Sedin: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:37VANRyan Kesler: Holding2 min
- P1 14:58BOSGregory Campbell: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:58VANMaxim Lapierre: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:58BOSShawn Thornton: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 14:58VANDale Weise: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 16:26BOSRich Peverley: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:45BOSBenoit Pouliot: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:55VANMason Raymond: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:55VANJannik Hansen: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:55BOSAdam McQuaid: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:08VANAlexandre Burrows: High sticking2 min
- P2 14:47BOSTyler Seguin: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 16:43BOSDavid Krejci: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 18:47BOSBrad Marchand: Clipping5 min · PPG
- P2 18:47BOSBrad Marchand: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 1:31VANDaniel Sedin: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:38VANAlexander Edler: Holding2 min
- P3 13:22BOSNathan Horton: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:30VANDan Hamhuis: Delaying game2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMalhotra – Lapierre – Weise2:50
xG 0.22–0.07 (77%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows5:20
xG 0.28–0.14 (67%)attempts 8–2goals 0–1
- Hansen – Raymond – Hodgson2:00
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Higgins – Kesler – Raymond3:18
xG 0.08–0.19 (30%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAlberts – Ballard4:45
xG 0.24–0.10 (72%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Alberts – Edler2:21
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Ballard – Edler3:41
xG 0.06–0.13 (30%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKelly – Horton – Krejci2:14
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Pouliot – Seguin2:27
xG 0.03–0.01 (82%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Horton – Krejci – Pouliot2:28
xG 0.17–0.19 (46%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille6:26
xG 0.10–0.59 (14%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCorvo – Seidenberg9:10
xG 0.65–0.25 (73%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Chara – Boychuk6:44
xG 0.32–0.18 (63%)attempts 5–5goals 2–0
- Ference – Boychuk2:32
xG 0.04–0.16 (19%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).