Sat, Jan 7, 2012·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Los Angeles Kings 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 06 | 18 | 04 | 118 |
| LAK | 09 | 08 | 014 | 031 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 11:25CBJGrant ClitsomeGWGAssists: Derick Brassard, David Savard · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
Penalties (18)
- P1 0:44CBJDerek Dorsett: Roughing2 min
- P1 0:44LAKKyle Clifford: Roughing2 min
- P1 8:26LAKDrew Doughty: Cross checking2 min
- P1 11:03LAKJustin Williams: Roughing2 min
- P1 16:54CBJDerek Dorsett: Boarding2 min
- P1 17:59LAKJustin Williams: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:28CBJJared Boll: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:38LAKKevin Westgarth: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:38CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:32CBJJeff Carter: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:19LAKKyle Clifford: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:24CBJDavid Savard: Holding2 min
- P2 14:20LAKWillie Mitchell: High sticking2 min
- P2 17:00LAKMike Richards: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:00CBJSamuel Pahlsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:00CBJSamuel Pahlsson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 3:23CBJMarc Methot: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:35CBJGrant Clitsome: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stoll won the faceoff against Pahlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Umberger – Brassard4:32
xG 0.27–0.15 (65%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Prospal – Nash – Carter6:56
xG 0.06–0.08 (45%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Boll – Johansen4:01
xG 0.00–0.27 (0%)attempts 0–8goals 0–0
- Pahlsson – Russell – Dorsett7:45
xG 0.11–0.39 (23%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Tyutin – Nikitin10:15
xG 0.17–0.14 (55%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Moore – Savard4:03
xG 0.02–0.33 (6%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
- Methot – Clitsome11:33
xG 0.24–0.68 (26%)attempts 4–13goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWilliams – Stoll – Clifford5:28
xG 0.51–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 0–0
- Richardson – Lewis – Loktionov4:18
xG 0.19–0.04 (81%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Brown – Richards – Kopitar7:07
xG 0.02–0.20 (8%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Johnson8:13
xG 0.65–0.08 (89%)attempts 18–6goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Martinez8:50
xG 0.21–0.07 (74%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Scuderi – Doughty11:25
xG 0.39–0.31 (56%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).