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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 7, 2012·Centre Bell, Montreal

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Montréal Canadiens 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 77% of the time.

MTL winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:12Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Price
  3. P1 3:24Goal by Lecavalier (Moore, Brewer)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Cole, Plekanec, Campoli, Emelin, Pacioretty · TBL Kubina, Brewer, Lecavalier, Moore, Connolly

  4. P1 4:01Shot by Downie, saved by Price
  5. P1 4:34Shot by Malone, saved by Price
  6. P1 4:15Shot by St. Louis, saved by Price
  7. P1 6:37Shot by Emelin, saved by Garon
  8. P1 8:13Shot by Purcell, saved by Price
  9. P1 9:03Shot by Subban, saved by Garon
  10. P1 9:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Price
  11. P1 10:31Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Garon
  12. P1 16:18Shot by Diaz, saved by Garon
  13. P1 16:09Shot by Moen, saved by Garon
  14. P1 17:21Shot by Clark, saved by Price
  15. P1 17:57Shot by Plekanec, saved by Garon
  16. P1 17:59Tyrell: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Kaberle, Gionta, Cammalleri, Plekanec, Emelin · TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Downie, Tyrell, Gilroy

  17. P1 18:07Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Garon5v4
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:25Shot by Clark, saved by Price
  21. P2 1:51Shot by Plekanec, saved by Garon
  22. P2 1:57Plekanec: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gill, Gionta, Cammalleri, Plekanec, Campoli · TBL Kubina, Brewer, Malone, Pyatt, Purcell

  23. P2 2:38Shot by Eller, saved by Garon4v5
  24. P2 2:52Shot by Kubina, saved by Price4v5
  25. P2 4:10Shot by Cole, saved by Garon
  26. P2 4:28Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Garon
  27. P2 5:26Shot by Tyrell, saved by Price
  28. P2 5:44Goal by Blunden (Gill, Darche)+22 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gill, Darche, Emelin, Blunden, Desharnais · TBL Malone, Bergeron, Gervais, Thompson, Purcell

  29. P2 6:57Shot by St. Louis, saved by Price
  30. P2 7:17Goal by Pacioretty (Subban)+21 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Cole, Gorges, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · TBL Kubina, Brewer, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos

  31. P2 7:48Shot by Bergeron, saved by Price
  32. P2 11:15Shot by Clark, saved by Price
  33. P2 11:20Shot by St. Louis, saved by Price
  34. P2 12:36Shot by Gervais, saved by Price
  35. P2 12:48Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Garon
  36. P2 14:31Shot by Campoli, saved by Garon
  37. P2 15:34Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Garon
  38. P2 16:01Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Garon
  39. P2 18:02Shot by Gorges, saved by Garon
  40. P2 19:13Shot by Bergeron, saved by Price
  41. P2 19:25Shot by Gorges, saved by Garon
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:27Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Garon
  45. P3 1:45Shot by Gionta, saved by Garon
  46. P3 1:48Shot by Subban, saved by Garon
  47. P3 2:52Shot by Purcell, saved by Price
  48. P3 9:18Shot by Connolly, saved by Price
  49. P3 9:20Shot by Pyatt, saved by Price
  50. P3 10:12Shot by Subban, saved by Garon
  51. P3 11:04Shot by Pyatt, saved by Price
  52. P3 11:23Shot by Blunden, saved by Garon
  53. P3 13:52Shot by Gionta, saved by Garon
  54. P3 14:48Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Garon
  55. P3 15:22Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Price
  56. P3 15:37Shot by Eller, saved by Garon
  57. P3 16:39Shot by Connolly, saved by Price
  58. P3 17:51Shot by Moore, saved by Price
  59. P3 19:30Bergeron: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Cole, Gorges, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Moore, Bergeron, Stamkos

  60. P3 19:43Goal by Cole (Desharnais, Pacioretty)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Cole, Gorges, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos

  61. P3 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Final