Thu, Jan 12, 2012·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Dallas Stars 5, Los Angeles Kings 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 216 | 111 | 19 | 02 | 1 | 538 |
| LAK | 016 | 214 | 27 | 04 | 0 | 441 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:04DALLoui ErikssonAssists: Tom Wandell, Brenden Morrow · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 14:55DALEric NystromAssists: Radek Dvorak · Wrist, 0.42 xG2–0
- P2 6:16LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Jack Johnson, Justin Williams · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–1
- P2 7:14DALAlex GoligoskiAssists: Michael Ryder, Brenden Morrow · Slap, 0.09 xG3–1
- P2 9:22LAKTrevor LewisAssists: Brad Richardson, Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 6:38LAKJack JohnsonPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.13 xG3–3
- P3 8:55LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Justin Williams · Tip-in, 0.25 xG3–4
- P3 14:35DALLoui ErikssonPPAssists: Michael Ryder, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.18 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. LAK Jarret Stoll stopped
- 2. DAL Michael Ryder stopped
- 3. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
- 4. DAL Loui Eriksson scored
- 5. LAK Trevor Lewis stopped
Penalties (21)
- P1 3:12DALSteve Ott: Roughing2 min
- P1 3:12LAKJustin Williams: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:59LAKBrad Richardson: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 16:51DALJamie Benn: Roughing2 min
- P2 4:17DALSheldon Souray: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 12:52DALSheldon Souray: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:00LAKRob Scuderi: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 1:01LAKMike Richards: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:53DALBrenden Morrow: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:28DALMichael Ryder: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 6:12DALMark Fistric: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 8:15DALRadek Dvorak: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 9:50LAKMike Richards: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:12DALBrenden Morrow: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:12LAKMike Richards: Instigator face shield2 min
- P3 12:12LAKMike Richards: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 12:12LAKMike Richards: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P3 12:12LAKMike Richards: Game misconduct10 min
- OT 4:38DALSheldon Souray: Roughing2 min
- OT 4:38LAKDrew Doughty: Misconduct10 min
- OT 4:38LAKDrew Doughty: Charging2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fiddler won the faceoff against Richards
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestPetersen – Burish – Dowell2:20
xG 0.21–0.02 (90%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Burish – Dowell – Benn2:01
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Ryder – Ott – Benn10:15
xG 0.55–0.52 (52%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Morrow – Eriksson – Wandell6:28
xG 0.40–0.42 (49%)attempts 7–7goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestDaley – Grossmann12:17
xG 0.73–0.40 (65%)attempts 18–9goals 0–1
- Souray – Robidas12:49
xG 0.77–0.51 (60%)attempts 13–15goals 1–0
- Fistric – Goligoski10:39
xG 0.24–0.73 (25%)attempts 5–11goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWilliams – Brown – Kopitar9:31
xG 1.06–0.94 (53%)attempts 17–9goals 0–1
- Stoll – Brown – Penner2:57
xG 0.03–0.10 (23%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Hunter – Fraser – Clifford6:30
xG 0.12–0.21 (36%)attempts 4–6goals 0–1
- Richardson – Lewis – Loktionov7:41
xG 0.22–0.35 (38%)attempts 5–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Mitchell – Voynov10:45
xG 0.53–0.75 (41%)attempts 14–13goals 0–1
- Greene – Johnson9:04
xG 0.71–0.98 (42%)attempts 10–14goals 1–1
- Scuderi – Doughty15:47
xG 0.39–0.67 (37%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).