Sat, Jan 14, 2012·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
San Jose Sharks 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 016 | 111 | 16 | 233 |
| CBJ | 08 | 07 | 111 | 126 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 14:59SJSRyane ClowePPAssists: Logan Couture, Brent Burns · Tip-in, 0.35 xG1–0
- P3 6:53CBJRick NashAssists: Nikita Nikitin, Antoine Vermette · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P3 17:03SJSPatrick MarleauGWGAssists: Joe Pavelski, Dan Boyle · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:19CBJRick Nash: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 10:34SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Interference2 min
- P1 14:11CBJDane Byers: High sticking2 min
- P2 3:01CBJDane Byers: Match penatly 10 minutes10 min
- P2 3:01SJSBrad Winchester: Instigator2 min
- P2 3:01SJSBrad Winchester: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:01SJSBrad Winchester: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P2 3:01CBJDane Byers: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:13CBJFedor Tyutin: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 2:19SJSJustin Braun: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Brassard won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Marleau – Pavelski8:26
xG 0.43–0.11 (80%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- Winchester – Murray – Desjardins2:23
xG 0.01–0.01 (42%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Handzus – Mitchell – McGinn9:06
xG 0.12–0.23 (35%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Clowe – Ferriero – Couture11:09
xG 0.23–0.44 (35%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Boyle – Vlasic14:06
xG 0.34–0.33 (51%)attempts 5–12goals 0–1
- Braun – Demers8:00
xG 0.05–0.05 (52%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Murray – Burns12:43
xG 0.35–0.37 (48%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestProspal – Nash – Brassard8:13
xG 0.38–0.19 (67%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Vermette – Kubalik – Johansen5:34
xG 0.17–0.01 (95%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Vermette – Nash – Johansen3:52
xG 0.07–0.03 (69%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
- Pahlsson – Russell – Dorsett9:43
xG 0.19–0.29 (40%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Nikitin12:27
xG 0.34–0.24 (58%)attempts 10–6goals 1–1
- Methot – Moore13:25
xG 0.39–0.30 (56%)attempts 9–16goals 0–0
- Johnson – Savard14:03
xG 0.15–0.29 (35%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).