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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 17, 2012·Madison Square Garden, New York

Nashville Predators 0, New York Rangers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 82% of the time.

NYR winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:13Shot by Weber, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 2:31Shot by Halischuk, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 3:21Shot by Erat, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 3:27Shot by Weber, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 5:20Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Lindback
  7. P1 5:57Shot by Gaborik, saved by Lindback
  8. P1 6:15Goal by Girardi (Gaborik, Hagelin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gaborik, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin, Stepan · NSH Erat, Kostitsyn, Hillen, Ellis, Smith

  9. P1 8:34Shot by Fedotenko, saved by Lindback
  10. P1 8:37Shot by Boyle, saved by Lindback
  11. P1 8:47Shot by Stepan, saved by Lindback
  12. P1 8:42Shot by Gaborik, saved by Lindback
  13. P1 11:17Shot by Staal, saved by Lindback
  14. P1 11:44Shot by Weber, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 12:50Shot by Klein, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 12:55Shot by Spaling, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 14:50Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lindback
  18. P1 15:26Shot by Weber, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 17:07Shot by Erat, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 17:08Shot by Erat, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 18:22Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 19:56Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lindback
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:41Shot by Richards, saved by Lindback
  26. P2 1:50Shot by Weber, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P2 1:58Shot by Staal, saved by Lindback
  28. P2 2:00Wilson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Dubinsky, Prust, Staal, Bickel · NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Weber, Hornqvist, Wilson

  29. P2 3:48Mitchell: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Mitchell, Dubinsky, Staal, Girardi, Anisimov · NSH Bouillon, Weber, Halischuk, Spaling

  30. P2 4:01Shot by Boyle, saved by Lindback4v5
  31. P2 4:06Shot by Boyle, saved by Lindback4v5
  32. P2 5:20Shot by Ellis, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  33. P2 5:57Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lindback
  34. P2 6:04Shot by Boyle, saved by Lindback
  35. P2 7:14Shot by Stepan, saved by Lindback
  36. P2 7:18Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 7:41Shot by Bouillon, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 8:17Shot by Hillen, saved by Lundqvist
  39. P2 10:42Goal by Mitchell, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Mitchell, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin, Stepan · NSH Bouillon, Legwand, Hornqvist, Josi, Bourque

  40. P2 11:29Shot by Legwand, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 11:33Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 12:17Shot by Hillen, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 13:55Shot by Gaborik, saved by Lindback
  44. P2 15:46Shot by Richards, saved by Lindback
  45. P2 17:11Shot by Callahan, saved by Lindback
  46. P2 18:24Erat: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Dubinsky, Prust, Girardi, McDonagh · NSH Fisher, Erat, Kostitsyn, Josi, Ellis

  47. P2 18:41Gaborik: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Richards, Gaborik, Callahan, Del Zotto, Stepan · NSH Fisher, Klein, Kostitsyn, Hillen

  48. P2 19:45Shot by Stralman, saved by Lindback4v4
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 6:32Shot by Wilson, saved by Lundqvist
  52. P3 6:59Shot by Josi, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P3 7:12Shot by Erat, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 9:23Shot by Fisher, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 10:01Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 10:55Shot by Fisher, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 11:04Shot by Prust, saved by Lindback
  58. P3 11:10Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Lindback
  59. P3 11:17Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lindback
  60. P3 11:30Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Lindback
  61. P3 11:38Shot by Tootoo, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 13:08Shot by Kostitsyn, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 13:47Shot by Callahan, saved by Lindback
  64. P3 15:36Shot by Callahan, saved by Lindback
  65. P3 19:09Goal by Callahan, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Dubinsky, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh · NSH Fisher, Erat, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi, Smith

  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final