Tue, Jan 24, 2012·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Florida Panthers 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 213 | 011 | 010 | 03 | 1 | 337 |
| FLA | 19 | 15 | 09 | 02 | 0 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:49FLAMikael SamuelssonPPAssists: Brian Campbell, Stephen Weiss · Slap, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 10:35PHIBrayden SchennPPAssists: Andrej Meszaros, Matt Carle · Snap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P1 17:59PHIJakub VoracekAssists: Tom Sestito, Kimmo Timonen · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 15:40FLATomas FleischmannAssists: Kris Versteeg, Stephen Weiss · Backhand, 0.09 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. PHI Brayden Schenn stopped
- 2. FLA Kris Versteeg stopped
- 3. PHI Claude Giroux scored
- 4. FLA Stephen Weiss stopped
- 5. PHI Jakub Voracek stopped
- 6. FLA Mike Santorelli stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 2:19PHITom Sestito: Charging2 min · PPG
- P1 9:19FLAErik Gudbranson: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 2:53FLAMike Santorelli: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:27FLATomas Kopecky: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:40PHIMatt Read: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Madden won the faceoff against Giroux
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestTalbot – Sestito – Voracek9:07
xG 0.40–0.10 (80%)attempts 6–3goals 1–1
- Shelley – Holmstrom – Zolnierczyk4:48
xG 0.06–0.07 (48%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Hartnell – Giroux – Schenn12:12
xG 0.16–0.29 (36%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Simmonds – Read – Couturier10:39
xG 0.25–0.42 (38%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMeszaros – Gustafsson14:37
xG 1.06–0.33 (76%)attempts 19–8goals 0–1
- Timonen – Coburn12:47
xG 0.39–0.07 (84%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Coburn – Carle2:53
xG 0.15–0.15 (50%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- Weiss – Fleischmann – Versteeg5:15
xG 0.14–0.13 (53%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Madden – Kopecky – Upshall7:04
xG 0.09–0.09 (49%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Bradley – Barch – Santorelli7:18
xG 0.07–0.10 (41%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Weiss – Versteeg – Matthias7:47
xG 0.18–0.37 (32%)attempts 6–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStrachan – Ellerby11:35
xG 0.25–0.12 (67%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Campbell – Ellerby2:17
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Campbell – Gudbranson16:23
xG 0.44–0.52 (46%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).