Tue, Jan 31, 2012·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Vancouver Canucks 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 19 | 015 | 112 | 03 | 239 |
| VAN | 112 | 06 | 110 | 15 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:58VANRyan KeslerAssists: Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 11:11CHIJamal MayersAssists: Steve Montador, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P3 1:17CHIViktor StalbergAssists: Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews · Backhand, 0.12 xG2–1
- P3 4:08VANCody HodgsonAssists: Jannik Hansen, Dan Hamhuis · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–2
- OT 3:37VANDaniel SedinGWGAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexander Edler · Snap, 0.21 xG2–3
Penalties (2)
- P1 3:30VANKeith Ballard: Clipping2 min
- P3 14:31VANAlexandre Burrows: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bolland won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestStalberg – Toews – Kane12:07
xG 1.10–0.30 (78%)attempts 19–8goals 1–2
- Bolland – Kruger – Shaw12:23
xG 0.92–0.60 (61%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Mayers – Brunette – Frolik3:34
xG 0.03–0.13 (18%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Morrison – Hossa – Sharp12:07
xG 0.27–0.58 (32%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeabrook – Hjalmarsson3:43
xG 0.92–0.05 (95%)attempts 10–2goals 0–0
- Montador – Leddy3:54
xG 0.27–0.01 (98%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Montador – Keith2:56
xG 0.15–0.07 (67%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHiggins – Kesler – Booth13:47
xG 1.35–0.46 (75%)attempts 20–14goals 0–1
- Hansen – Raymond – Hodgson8:50
xG 0.22–0.13 (62%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
- Malhotra – Lapierre – Weise8:22
xG 0.02–0.20 (8%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows15:47
xG 0.71–1.01 (41%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Bieksa18:02
xG 0.82–0.22 (79%)attempts 16–9goals 1–0
- Ballard – Rome13:50
xG 0.99–0.82 (55%)attempts 16–13goals 0–0
- Salo – Edler16:50
xG 0.82–0.99 (45%)attempts 19–22goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).