Thu, Feb 2, 2012·Rexall Place, Edmonton
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Edmonton Oilers 8
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 114 | 214 | 119 | 447 |
| EDM | 09 | 313 | 519 | 841 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:29CHIJamal MayersAssists: Niklas Hjalmarsson, Marcus Kruger · Snap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 0:40CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.09 xG2–0
- P2 2:22EDMTaylor HallAssists: Sam Gagner · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P2 7:26EDMSam GagnerAssists: Jordan Eberle, Andy Sutton · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–2
- P2 12:23EDMRyan WhitneyPPAssists: Sam Gagner · Slap, 0.03 xG2–3
- P2 15:33CHIPatrick SharpSHAssists: Jonathan Toews, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Wrist, 0.27 xG3–3
- P3 1:54EDMSam GagnerAssists: Ryan Whitney, Jordan Eberle · Wrist, 0.27 xG3–4
- P3 3:43EDMCam BarkerGWGAssists: Andy Sutton, Sam Gagner · Snap, 0.02 xG3–5
- P3 5:57CHIDave BollandAssists: Marcus Kruger, Andrew Shaw · Backhand, 0.28 xG4–5
- P3 6:25EDMSam GagnerAssists: Taylor Hall, Corey Potter · Wrist, 0.09 xG4–6
- P3 14:31EDMSam GagnerAssists: Jordan Eberle, Taylor Hall · Wrist, 0.14 xG4–7
- P3 16:15EDMJordan EberleAssists: Sam Gagner, Taylor Hall · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–8
Penalties (10)
- P1 13:08CHIDuncan Keith: Holding2 min
- P1 15:16CHIViktor Stalberg: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 17:52EDMBen Eager: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:40CHIBryan Bickell: High sticking2 min
- P2 8:02EDMCam Barker: Boarding2 min
- P2 10:31CHIBryan Bickell: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 14:25CHIBrent Seabrook: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:26EDMLadislav Smid: Cross checking2 min
- P3 6:56CHIDuncan Keith: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 9:52CHIPatrick Sharp: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horcoff won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBolland – Kruger – Shaw6:26
xG 1.16–0.16 (88%)attempts 14–8goals 1–2
- Stalberg – Toews – Kane6:49
xG 1.08–0.15 (88%)attempts 20–4goals 0–0
- Sharp – Toews – Kane2:45
xG 0.57–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Morrison – Hossa – Sharp6:49
xG 0.42–0.16 (72%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook14:29
xG 1.39–0.30 (82%)attempts 29–12goals 1–1
- Hjalmarsson – Leddy9:26
xG 1.53–0.95 (62%)attempts 16–17goals 1–3
- Keith – Leddy3:19
xG 0.17–0.30 (35%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- Smyth – Belanger – Jones2:31
xG 0.11–0.06 (63%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Gagner – Eberle – Hall5:56
xG 1.00–0.96 (51%)attempts 11–12goals 5–1
- Eager – Cornet – Lander2:33
xG 0.04–0.11 (28%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Eager – Petrell – Lander3:08
xG 0.14–0.22 (39%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestWhitney – Potter10:21
xG 0.72–0.60 (55%)attempts 14–14goals 2–1
- Sutton – Barker9:10
xG 0.64–1.04 (38%)attempts 14–17goals 4–1
- Smid – Petry13:09
xG 0.50–1.84 (22%)attempts 12–28goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).