Sun, Feb 5, 2012·Madison Square Garden, New York
Philadelphia Flyers 2, New York Rangers 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 05 | 110 | 18 | 223 |
| NYR | 114 | 114 | 310 | 538 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:04NYRArtem AnisimovAssists: Dan Girardi, Derek Stepan · Tip-in, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 12:02PHIBrayden SchennAssists: Jakub Voracek, Max Talbot · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 19:54NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Derek Stepan, Artem Anisimov · Wrap-around, 0.05 xG1–2
- P3 0:57PHIWayne SimmondsPPAssists: Scott Hartnell, Claude Giroux · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–2
- P3 1:33NYRMichael Del ZottoGWGAssists: Marian Gaborik, Artem Anisimov · Snap, 0.07 xG2–3
- P3 12:15NYRBrandon DubinskyAssists: Brian Boyle, Brandon Prust · Snap, 0.09 xG2–4
- P3 18:44NYRRuslan FedotenkoENAssists: Carl Hagelin, Brad Richards · Wrist, 0.64 xG2–5
Penalties (20)
- P1 1:40NYRStu Bickel: Interference2 min
- P1 8:15NYRStu Bickel: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:15PHIWayne Simmonds: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:13PHIMatt Read: Holding2 min
- P1 16:37NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:37PHITom Sestito: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:46PHIBraydon Coburn: Holding2 min
- P2 4:05NYRStu Bickel: Interference2 min
- P2 6:29NYRStu Bickel: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:29PHITom Sestito: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:54PHIBrayden Schenn: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:48NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 1:35NYRBrandon Prust: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:35PHITom Sestito: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:35PHITom Sestito: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 2:13NYRStu Bickel: Boarding2 min
- P3 5:20PHIZac Rinaldo: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:25NYRBrian Boyle: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:41NYRCarl Hagelin: High sticking2 min
- P3 13:34PHIJakub Voracek: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Talbot won the faceoff against Richards
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestTalbot – Voracek – Read4:14
xG 0.12–0.03 (80%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Jagr – Hartnell – Couturier2:07
xG 0.14–0.07 (65%)attempts 2–1goals 0–1
- Simmonds – Rinaldo – Schenn6:04
xG 0.02–0.26 (6%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Jagr – Hartnell – Giroux6:14
xG 0.16–0.48 (25%)attempts 3–12goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestTimonen – Coburn10:27
xG 0.54–0.23 (70%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Coburn – Meszaros2:17
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Carle – Meszaros2:27
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestGaborik – Anisimov – Stepan6:37
xG 0.31–0.23 (58%)attempts 7–5goals 3–0
- Rupp – Mitchell – Dubinsky2:11
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Boyle – Dubinsky – Callahan4:05
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Richards – Callahan – Hagelin5:20
xG 0.20–0.25 (44%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGirardi – McDonagh12:26
xG 0.71–0.53 (57%)attempts 18–11goals 3–1
- Staal – Bickel7:05
xG 0.26–0.15 (63%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Staal – Stralman2:02
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).