Fri, Feb 10, 2012·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose
Chicago Blackhawks 3, San Jose Sharks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 07 | 217 | 19 | 333 |
| SJS | 212 | 13 | 212 | 527 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:58SJSJustin BraunPPAssists: Logan Couture, Brent Burns · Snap, 0.27 xG0–1
- P1 11:36SJSDan BoylePPAssists: Logan Couture, Justin Braun · Slap, 0.10 xG0–2
- P2 6:55CHIMarcus KrugerAssists: Nick Leddy, Patrick Sharp · Slap, 0.33 xG1–2
- P2 9:55CHIMarcus KrugerAssists: Brent Seabrook, Patrick Sharp · Backhand, 0.41 xG2–2
- P2 15:43SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Joe Pavelski · Wrist, 0.21 xG2–3
- P3 2:15CHIBryan BickellAssists: Dave Bolland, Sami Lepisto · Snap, 0.09 xG3–3
- P3 5:40SJSBenn FerrieroGWGAssists: Brad Winchester, Brent Burns · Snap, 0.61 xG3–4
- P3 14:04SJSJamie McGinnPPAssists: Ryane Clowe, Brent Burns · Snap, 0.28 xG3–5
Penalties (16)
- P1 0:58CHIMichael Frolik: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P1 3:46SJSPatrick Marleau: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 11:09CHISean O'Donnell: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 11:09SJSRyane Clowe: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:09CHIDuncan Keith: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:09SJSJoe Thornton: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:09CHIJonathan Toews: Roughing2 min
- P1 14:02SJSBrad Winchester: Cross checking2 min
- P1 16:24SJSMichal Handzus: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P1 18:51SJSRyane Clowe: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:51CHIJamal Mayers: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:28CHIBryan Bickell: Interference2 min
- P3 5:18CHIBryan Bickell: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:18SJSJamie McGinn: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:36CHIAndrew Shaw: Illegal check to head2 min · PPG
- P3 17:32CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSharp – Kane – Kruger10:50
xG 1.36–0.47 (74%)attempts 14–8goals 2–0
- Bolland – Bickell – Shaw5:50
xG 0.24–0.06 (79%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Mayers – Hossa – Toews5:51
xG 0.13–0.07 (64%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Hossa – Frolik – Toews3:08
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestO'Donnell – Lepisto6:34
xG 0.51–0.00 (100%)attempts 12–1goals 1–0
- Keith – Seabrook2:40
xG 0.42–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- O'Donnell – Keith2:00
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Clowe – McCarthy – Couture4:58
xG 0.27–0.25 (52%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Handzus – Mitchell – McGinn6:15
xG 0.06–0.09 (41%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Winchester – McCarthy – Ferriero3:51
xG 0.08–0.14 (38%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Thornton – Marleau – Pavelski14:08
xG 0.47–0.81 (37%)attempts 8–13goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestMurray – Burns13:32
xG 1.07–0.67 (61%)attempts 12–13goals 1–1
- White – Braun11:53
xG 0.38–0.47 (45%)attempts 6–10goals 0–1
- Boyle – Vlasic14:55
xG 0.31–1.29 (19%)attempts 6–23goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).