Sat, Feb 11, 2012·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Chicago Blackhawks 0, Phoenix Coyotes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 010 | 012 | 016 | 038 |
| PHX | 213 | 18 | 06 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:14PHXRadim VrbataGWGAssists: Ray Whitney, Adrian Aucoin · Wrap-around, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 5:58PHXBoyd GordonAssists: Gilbert Brule, Lauri Korpikoski · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–2
- P2 12:59PHXKyle ChipchuraAssists: Gilbert Brule, Raffi Torres · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 1:34PHXKyle Chipchura: Fighting5 min
- P1 1:34CHIAndrew Shaw: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:41PHXKyle Chipchura: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:46CHIBrendan Morrison: Interference2 min
- P2 16:26PHXRaffi Torres: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:14PHXRadim Vrbata: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:23PHXAdrian Aucoin: Cross checking2 min
- P3 17:23CHIJonathan Toews: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Kruger
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSharp – Toews – Kane7:57
xG 0.83–0.16 (84%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Hossa – Stalberg – Toews4:46
xG 0.20–0.05 (79%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Brunette – Bolland – Shaw3:28
xG 0.17–0.19 (47%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Morrison – Mayers – Brunette3:41
xG 0.09–0.11 (44%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Lepisto4:18
xG 0.34–0.05 (86%)attempts 10–2goals 0–0
- O'Donnell – Lepisto2:31
xG 0.28–0.05 (85%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook4:16
xG 0.28–0.12 (71%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestLangkow – Pyatt – Boedker11:29
xG 0.85–0.51 (62%)attempts 13–17goals 0–0
- Torres – Chipchura – Brule5:59
xG 0.32–0.30 (52%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Doan – Gordon – Korpikoski7:50
xG 0.08–0.16 (33%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
- Whitney – Vrbata – Hanzal10:49
xG 0.42–0.61 (41%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlesla – Ekman-Larsson12:34
xG 1.15–0.73 (61%)attempts 16–15goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Yandle13:49
xG 0.62–0.53 (54%)attempts 10–13goals 3–0
- Rozsival – Ekman-Larsson3:26
xG 0.06–0.11 (34%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).