Tue, Feb 28, 2012·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Vancouver Canucks 1, Phoenix Coyotes 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 112 | 08 | 015 | 05 | 0 | 140 |
| PHX | 012 | 012 | 111 | 00 | 2 | 235 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:56VANAlexander EdlerPPAssists: Sami Salo, Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.00 xG1–0
- P3 9:43PHXRay WhitneyAssists: Keith Yandle, Adrian Aucoin · Backhand, 0.21 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. PHX Ray Whitney scored
- 2. VAN Alexander Edler stopped
- 3. PHX Radim Vrbata stopped
- 4. VAN Mason Raymond stopped
- 5. PHX Mikkel Boedker scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:08VANKevin Bieksa: High sticking2 min
- P1 8:55PHXRadim Vrbata: Holding2 min
- P1 12:08VANMaxim Lapierre: Interference2 min
- P1 14:46PHXMichal Rozsival: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:18VANJannik Hansen: Slashing2 min
- P2 8:18PHXAdrian Aucoin: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:03VANChris Tanev: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:18PHXMartin Hanzal: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:04VANZack Kassian: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gordon won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPahlsson – Higgins – Hansen7:32
xG 0.22–0.16 (58%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows9:44
xG 0.42–0.38 (52%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
- Kesler – Raymond – Kassian5:10
xG 0.02–0.14 (12%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Kesler – Booth – Raymond6:25
xG 0.20–0.35 (36%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Tanev5:44
xG 0.32–0.08 (80%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa8:46
xG 0.54–0.40 (57%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Rome7:19
xG 0.21–0.16 (57%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestWhitney – Vrbata – Hanzal10:25
xG 0.60–0.21 (74%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Langkow – Torres – Bissonnette4:18
xG 0.11–0.07 (63%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Langkow – Doan – Torres2:44
xG 0.09–0.08 (51%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Doan – Vermette – Boedker8:39
xG 0.39–0.47 (45%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAucoin – Yandle16:22
xG 0.90–0.41 (69%)attempts 18–7goals 1–0
- Summers – Stone10:49
xG 0.54–0.34 (62%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Ekman-Larsson14:57
xG 0.35–0.93 (27%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).