Sat, Feb 18, 2012·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Minnesota Wild 0, St. Louis Blues 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 91% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 07 | 03 | 03 | 013 |
| STL | 19 | 217 | 18 | 434 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:50STLRyan ReavesGWGAssists: Scott Nichol, Kevin Shattenkirk · Snap, 0.17 xG0–1
- P2 4:36STLBarret JackmanAssists: Patrik Berglund, Jamie Langenbrunner · Slap, 0.01 xG0–2
- P2 19:19STLAndy McDonaldPPAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Kevin Shattenkirk · Deflected, 0.13 xG0–3
- P3 8:11STLVladimir SobotkaAssists: David Perron, Alex Pietrangelo · Slap, 0.08 xG0–4
Penalties (17)
- P2 3:01MINGreg Zanon: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway0 min
- P2 7:04STLKevin Shattenkirk: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:57MINJustin Falk: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:47MINCal Clutterbuck: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P3 1:52MINJed Ortmeyer: Holding2 min
- P3 6:08STLRyan Reaves: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:08MINMatt Kassian: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:08MINMatt Kassian: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:30MINJustin Falk: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:30STLChris Stewart: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:30MINCal Clutterbuck: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:30STLKevin Shattenkirk: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:22STLKris Russell: High sticking2 min
- P3 16:30MINWarren Peters: Cross checking5 min
- P3 16:30MINWarren Peters: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 16:30STLBarret Jackman: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:59MINCal Clutterbuck: Interference goalkeeper2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Brodziak won the faceoff against Berglund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestCullen – Johnson – Clutterbuck2:27
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Heatley – Brodziak – Johnson10:43
xG 0.32–0.40 (44%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
- Peters – Ortmeyer – Powe8:28
xG 0.00–0.13 (0%)attempts 1–8goals 0–0
- Taffe – Christensen – Kassian4:48
xG 0.01–0.22 (3%)attempts 1–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Schultz – Zanon13:53
xG 0.45–0.43 (51%)attempts 9–17goals 0–0
- Scandella – Spurgeon11:32
xG 0.13–0.46 (22%)attempts 4–12goals 0–2
- Falk – Prosser13:01
xG 0.00–0.82 (0%)attempts 5–16goals 0–1
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestBackes – Oshie – Perron10:46
xG 0.84–0.25 (77%)attempts 18–8goals 0–0
- Langenbrunner – McDonald – Berglund9:08
xG 0.36–0.04 (91%)attempts 12–3goals 1–0
- Nichol – Crombeen – Reaves6:49
xG 0.23–0.01 (97%)attempts 6–1goals 1–0
- Arnott – Sobotka – Stewart7:59
xG 0.10–0.18 (34%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHuskins – Pietrangelo11:47
xG 0.71–0.11 (86%)attempts 20–6goals 0–0
- Jackman – Shattenkirk9:35
xG 0.42–0.05 (90%)attempts 15–3goals 2–0
- Jackman – Polak2:52
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 91% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).