Tue, Feb 21, 2012·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
San Jose Sharks 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 018 | 212 | 111 | 341 |
| CBJ | 415 | 16 | 114 | 635 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:55CBJR.J. UmbergerAssists: Grant Clitsome, Derick Brassard · Wrist, 0.40 xG0–1
- P1 6:51CBJJeff CarterPPAssists: Vinny Prospal, Mark Letestu · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–2
- P1 15:18CBJRick NashAssists: Derick Brassard, R.J. Umberger · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–3
- P1 19:30CBJJeff CarterPPGWGAssists: Vinny Prospal, David Savard · Deflected, 0.15 xG0–4
- P2 5:11SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Colin White, Andrew Desjardins · Deflected, 0.08 xG1–4
- P2 5:37SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Michal Handzus, Justin Braun · Snap, 0.05 xG2–4
- P2 10:59CBJDavid SavardPPAssists: Nikita Nikitin, Antoine Vermette · Slap, 0.04 xG2–5
- P3 1:26CBJJeff CarterAssists: Rick Nash, Vinny Prospal · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–6
- P3 8:35SJSLogan CouturePPAssists: Joe Pavelski, Dan Boyle · Deflected, 0.09 xG3–6
Penalties (13)
- P1 6:23SJSJoe Pavelski: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min · PPG
- P1 12:52CBJColton Gillies: Interference2 min
- P1 17:44SJSRyane Clowe: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 17:44CBJR.J. Umberger: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:44SJSTommy Wingels: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:15CBJRick Nash: Boarding2 min
- P2 7:37SJSRyane Clowe: Cross checking2 min
- P2 7:37SJSRyane Clowe: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 1:48SJSColin White: Elbowing2 min
- P3 7:56CBJFedor Tyutin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 12:32SJSMichal Handzus: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:17CBJColton Gillies: Hooking2 min
- P3 19:38SJSBrad Winchester: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Marleau – Pavelski4:56
xG 0.53–0.06 (89%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Desjardins2:00
xG 0.23–0.05 (82%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Handzus – Winchester – Desjardins2:12
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Handzus – Desjardins – McGinn2:01
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWhite – Boyle4:08
xG 0.45–0.05 (90%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Boyle – Burns5:11
xG 0.41–0.03 (93%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- White – Vlasic8:25
xG 0.32–0.07 (81%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestUmberger – Nash – Brassard10:04
xG 0.77–0.41 (65%)attempts 5–15goals 2–1
- MacKenzie – Gillies – Johansen7:55
xG 0.22–0.40 (35%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
- Prospal – Carter – Letestu8:44
xG 0.22–0.67 (25%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
- Pahlsson – Vermette – Dorsett9:34
xG 0.12–0.59 (16%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestClitsome – Savard11:41
xG 0.91–0.41 (69%)attempts 11–11goals 3–1
- Lebda – Moore16:14
xG 0.44–1.00 (30%)attempts 13–21goals 0–1
- Tyutin – Nikitin13:12
xG 0.12–0.84 (12%)attempts 6–22goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).