Tue, Feb 21, 2012·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 4, Phoenix Coyotes 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 314 | 110 | 04 | 01 | 1 | 429 |
| PHX | 05 | 314 | 17 | 03 | 2 | 529 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:18LAKDrew DoughtyAssists: Dustin Brown, Dwight King · Tip-in, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 12:32LAKAndrei LoktionovAssists: Alec Martinez, Matt Greene · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–0
- P1 14:44LAKDustin BrownAssists: Willie Mitchell, Mike Richards · Tip-in, 0.10 xG3–0
- P2 0:50PHXRadim VrbataPPAssists: Martin Hanzal, Ray Whitney · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–1
- P2 5:26PHXShane DoanPPAssists: Martin Hanzal, Radim Vrbata · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–2
- P2 11:51LAKJustin WilliamsPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Mike Richards · Wrist, 0.45 xG4–2
- P2 17:07PHXShane DoanAssists: Martin Hanzal, Lauri Korpikoski · Wrist, 0.33 xG4–3
- P3 17:33PHXRadim VrbataPPAssists: Lauri Korpikoski · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. PHX Ray Whitney scored
- 2. LAK Mike Richards stopped
- 3. PHX Radim Vrbata stopped
- 4. LAK Dustin Brown scored
- 5. PHX Mikkel Boedker scored
- 6. LAK Jack Johnson stopped
Penalties (10)
- P2 0:28LAKJack Johnson: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 5:15LAKMatt Greene: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 6:38PHXChris Summers: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:49PHXAdrian Aucoin: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:02LAKMatt Greene: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:48LAKAnze Kopitar: Interference2 min
- P3 6:50PHXRaffi Torres: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:23LAKKyle Clifford: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:47LAKKyle Clifford: Match penatly 10 minutes10 min · PPG
- P3 13:47PHXKeith Yandle: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richards won the faceoff against Gordon
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Richards – King8:15
xG 0.65–0.25 (72%)attempts 12–6goals 2–0
- Stoll – Fraser – Richardson6:15
xG 0.43–0.06 (88%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Williams – Kopitar – Nolan8:41
xG 0.26–0.07 (79%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Lewis – Loktionov – Clifford7:39
xG 0.22–0.14 (61%)attempts 6–4goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Johnson12:53
xG 0.87–0.29 (75%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Scuderi – Doughty16:54
xG 0.45–0.14 (76%)attempts 17–6goals 1–0
- Greene – Martinez8:29
xG 0.25–0.15 (62%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- Langkow – Doan – Korpikoski6:24
xG 0.09–0.05 (62%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Torres – Gordon – Brule4:00
xG 0.08–0.15 (34%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Whitney – Vrbata – Hanzal7:31
xG 0.05–0.21 (20%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
- Langkow – Torres – Boedker5:27
xG 0.02–0.20 (9%)attempts 2–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestAucoin – Yandle13:57
xG 0.23–0.09 (73%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Ekman-Larsson2:39
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Ekman-Larsson14:28
xG 0.33–0.74 (31%)attempts 10–18goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).