Thu, Feb 23, 2012·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Vancouver Canucks 4, Detroit Red Wings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 017 | 18 | 213 | 05 | 1 | 443 |
| DET | 15 | 015 | 212 | 04 | 0 | 336 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:16DETDarren HelmUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 13:34VANDaniel SedinAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–1
- P3 6:08DETKyle QuinceyAssists: Justin Abdelkader, Darren Helm · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–2
- P3 13:26VANCody HodgsonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–2
- P3 13:46DETJustin AbdelkaderAssists: Darren Helm, Drew Miller · Wrist, 0.34 xG2–3
- P3 19:44VANDaniel SedinAssists: Henrik Sedin, Ryan Kesler · Slap, 0.05 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. DET Jiri Hudler stopped
- 2. VAN David Booth stopped
- 3. DET Henrik Zetterberg stopped
- 4. VAN Alexander Edler stopped
- 5. DET Todd Bertuzzi stopped
- 6. VAN Alexandre Burrows scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 3:13VANMaxim Lapierre: Boarding2 min
- P1 6:49DETJustin Abdelkader: Interference2 min
- P1 13:16VANDaniel Sedin: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 16:58VANDavid Booth: Holding2 min
- P2 3:35DETKyle Quincey: Interference2 min
- P2 6:52DETKyle Quincey: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:12DETDrew Miller: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:18VANRyan Kesler: Interference2 min
- P2 14:19VANDan Hamhuis: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Filppula
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows10:20
xG 0.48–0.24 (66%)attempts 13–5goals 0–1
- Malhotra – Lapierre – Weise5:20
xG 0.08–0.10 (45%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Kesler – Booth – Raymond9:44
xG 0.16–0.50 (25%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Higgins – Hansen – Hodgson6:16
xG 0.43–0.99 (30%)attempts 11–11goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestSalo – Edler12:48
xG 0.49–0.27 (64%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Rome – Tanev12:42
xG 0.80–1.01 (44%)attempts 16–15goals 1–2
- Hamhuis – Bieksa12:15
xG 0.39–0.63 (39%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestBertuzzi – Zetterberg – Franzen10:19
xG 0.99–0.39 (72%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Cleary – Filppula – Hudler10:37
xG 0.46–0.30 (60%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Holmstrom – Emmerton – Mursak4:28
xG 0.10–0.08 (54%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Miller – Abdelkader – Helm10:35
xG 0.79–0.83 (49%)attempts 10–16goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEricsson – Quincey8:36
xG 0.99–0.50 (66%)attempts 11–10goals 2–0
- Stuart – Ericsson3:41
xG 0.76–0.37 (67%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Stuart – Kronwall9:47
xG 0.53–0.24 (69%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).