Mon, Feb 13, 2012·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Phoenix Coyotes 1, Vancouver Canucks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 09 | 07 | 17 | 01 | 3 | 124 |
| VAN | 04 | 113 | 02 | 03 | 4 | 222 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 10:40VANDavid BoothAssists: Ryan Kesler, Aaron Rome · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–1
- P3 17:54PHXKeith YandleUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. VAN Cody Hodgson scored
- 2. PHX Ray Whitney scored
- 3. VAN Alexandre Burrows stopped
- 4. PHX Radim Vrbata stopped
- 5. VAN Alexander Edler scored
- 6. PHX Gilbert Brule scored
- 7. VAN Mason Raymond stopped
- 8. PHX Shane Doan stopped
- 9. VAN David Booth scored
- 10. PHX Mikkel Boedker scored
- 11. VAN Ryan Kesler scored
- 12. PHX Boyd Gordon stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 6:03PHXRaffi Torres: Tripping2 min
- P1 7:50PHXMichal Rozsival: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 13:09VANAlexander Edler: Holding2 min
- P2 7:17VANByron Bitz: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:11PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Holding2 min
- OT 5:00PHXRostislav Klesla: Roughing2 min
- OT 5:00VANKevin Bieksa: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Doan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestWhitney – Vrbata – Hanzal13:29
xG 0.49–0.17 (74%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Langkow – Pyatt – Boedker3:54
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Doan – Gordon – Korpikoski10:18
xG 0.17–0.10 (63%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Langkow – Brule – Boedker4:55
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRozsival – Summers12:57
xG 0.57–0.09 (86%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Klesla – Ekman-Larsson17:40
xG 0.50–0.11 (82%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Yandle12:33
xG 0.29–0.18 (62%)attempts 9–7goals 1–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestKesler – Booth – Hodgson3:22
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Lapierre – Duco – Hodgson6:01
xG 0.13–0.03 (79%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Kesler – Bitz – Booth2:13
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Kesler – Booth – Hansen4:21
xG 0.01–0.09 (9%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Bieksa16:32
xG 0.36–0.29 (55%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Alberts – Rome10:36
xG 0.22–0.43 (33%)attempts 4–10goals 1–0
- Salo – Edler17:45
xG 0.11–0.60 (16%)attempts 8–17goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).