Thu, Mar 8, 2012·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Minnesota Wild 3, Phoenix Coyotes 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 29 | 06 | 07 | 02 | 3 | 324 |
| PHX | 016 | 016 | 28 | 01 | 2 | 241 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:06MINKyle BrodziakAssists: Darroll Powe · Tip-in, 0.18 xG1–0
- P1 5:04MINSteven KampferAssists: Matt Cullen, Devin Setoguchi · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–0
- P3 1:40PHXRaffi TorresAssists: Michael Stone · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
- P3 2:45PHXLauri KorpikoskiAssists: Antoine Vermette, Adrian Aucoin · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. PHX Ray Whitney scored
- 2. MIN Erik Christensen scored
- 3. PHX Radim Vrbata stopped
- 4. MIN Matt Cullen stopped
- 5. PHX Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 6. MIN Kyle Brodziak stopped
- 7. PHX Shane Doan scored
- 8. MIN Devin Setoguchi scored
- 9. PHX Oliver Ekman-Larsson stopped
- 10. MIN Dany Heatley scored
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:53PHXPaul Bissonnette: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:53MINMatt Kassian: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:08MINNate Prosser: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:47MINNate Prosser: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:04MINDarroll Powe: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:30PHXAntoine Vermette: Slashing2 min
- P3 17:07MINDevin Setoguchi: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cullen won the faceoff against Gordon
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestBrodziak – Johnson – Powe12:18
xG 0.77–0.35 (69%)attempts 9–11goals 1–1
- Cullen – Heatley – Setoguchi13:21
xG 0.51–0.43 (54%)attempts 9–18goals 1–0
- Veilleux – Christensen – Kassian5:00
xG 0.22–0.21 (51%)attempts 3–7goals 0–1
- Peters – Ortmeyer – Palmieri9:52
xG 0.12–0.51 (19%)attempts 6–18goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGilbert – Kampfer18:01
xG 1.22–0.45 (73%)attempts 17–25goals 1–0
- Foster – Scandella4:35
xG 0.29–0.15 (66%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Foster – Kampfer2:32
xG 0.04–0.04 (53%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestWhitney – Langkow – Vrbata2:29
xG 0.52–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Pyatt – Vrbata – Gordon3:12
xG 0.31–0.13 (70%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Doan – Torres – Vermette2:04
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Gordon – Korpikoski – Boedker3:15
xG 0.15–0.03 (84%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStone – Rundblad11:59
xG 0.87–0.33 (73%)attempts 21–5goals 1–0
- Aucoin – Yandle16:54
xG 0.85–0.83 (51%)attempts 25–13goals 1–1
- Aucoin – Ekman-Larsson2:01
xG 0.02–0.17 (11%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).