Sun, Mar 11, 2012·United Center, Chicago
Los Angeles Kings 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 117 | 14 | 07 | 01 | 1 | 329 |
| CHI | 011 | 110 | 116 | 00 | 0 | 237 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:17LAKSlava VoynovAssists: Justin Williams, Dustin Brown · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P2 12:37CHIMarcus KrugerAssists: Patrick Sharp, Viktor Stalberg · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 17:25LAKJeff CarterAssists: Dwight King, Mike Richards · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–1
- P3 7:36CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Marian Hossa, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.21 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Justin Williams stopped
- 2. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 3. LAK Jeff Carter stopped
- 4. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
- 5. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
- 6. CHI Marian Hossa stopped
- 7. LAK Jarret Stoll stopped
- 8. CHI Viktor Stalberg stopped
- 9. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 10. CHI Andrew Shaw stopped
- 11. LAK Mike Richards scored
- 12. CHI Marcus Kruger stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:29CHIAndrew Shaw: High sticking2 min
- P1 12:19CHIBrandon Bollig: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:19LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:26LAKDustin Penner: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 10:14LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:28LAKRob Scuderi: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway0 min
- P3 17:16CHIViktor Stalberg: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kane won the faceoff against Richards
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWilliams – Brown – Kopitar15:22
xG 1.22–0.91 (57%)attempts 19–13goals 1–0
- Carter – Richards – King12:08
xG 0.87–0.61 (59%)attempts 14–16goals 1–1
- Fraser – Clifford – Nolan6:02
xG 0.16–0.20 (44%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Stoll – Penner – Lewis10:55
xG 0.18–0.36 (34%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Doughty16:45
xG 1.15–0.93 (55%)attempts 12–19goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Greene6:07
xG 0.30–0.10 (75%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Greene – Martinez11:30
xG 0.30–0.29 (51%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSharp – Stalberg – Kruger5:12
xG 0.43–0.14 (75%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Hossa – Sharp – Kane10:46
xG 0.61–0.44 (58%)attempts 17–7goals 1–0
- Mayers – Hayes – Bollig2:12
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Mayers – Stalberg – Bollig2:57
xG 0.03–0.04 (45%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Hjalmarsson2:37
xG 0.48–0.07 (88%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Hjalmarsson – Olsen8:22
xG 0.33–0.31 (52%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Oduya – Leddy14:42
xG 0.48–0.67 (42%)attempts 19–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).