Sun, Mar 25, 2012·Honda Center, Anaheim
Boston Bruins 3, Anaheim Ducks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 06 | 212 | 17 | 325 |
| ANA | 06 | 17 | 114 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:37BOSZdeno CharaUnassisted · Slap, 0.01 xG1–0
- P2 5:59BOSBenoit PouliotAssists: Chris Kelly, Brian Rolston · Snap, 0.04 xG2–0
- P2 9:11ANATeemu SelannePPAssists: Cam Fowler, Ryan Getzlaf · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–1
- P3 13:06BOSBrian RolstonGWGAssists: Chris Kelly, Benoit Pouliot · Slap, 0.07 xG3–1
- P3 17:31ANALubomir VisnovskyUnassisted · Slap, 0.12 xG3–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:12ANALubomir Visnovsky: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:01BOSAndrew Ference: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:00BOSAdam McQuaid: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 2:51ANALuca Sbisa: Interference2 min
- P3 14:01BOSTyler Seguin: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Kelly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Campbell – Caron6:20
xG 0.33–0.07 (82%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Peverley – Marchand10:13
xG 0.38–0.26 (59%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Krejci – Lucic – Seguin14:19
xG 0.37–0.45 (46%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Rolston – Kelly – Pouliot12:27
xG 0.22–0.95 (19%)attempts 7–13goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestZanon – McQuaid11:01
xG 0.34–0.22 (60%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- Ference – Boychuk16:46
xG 0.32–0.67 (32%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Chara – Seidenberg16:17
xG 0.32–1.08 (23%)attempts 12–20goals 2–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Perry – Ryan3:49
xG 0.85–0.07 (93%)attempts 6–1goals 1–1
- Cogliano – Beleskey – Smith-Pelly3:29
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Ryan – Bonino – Palmieri6:48
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Selanne – Koivu – Blake11:22
xG 0.41–0.34 (55%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestVisnovsky – Sbisa16:51
xG 0.98–0.34 (74%)attempts 13–10goals 1–2
- Beauchemin – Fowler16:47
xG 0.45–0.36 (55%)attempts 15–15goals 0–1
- Lydman – Brookbank12:54
xG 0.47–0.50 (48%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).