Sun, Mar 25, 2012·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
St. Louis Blues 4, Phoenix Coyotes 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 06 | 111 | 312 | 429 |
| PHX | 07 | 06 | 07 | 020 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:33STLAlex PietrangeloPPGWGAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, David Backes · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P3 4:09STLDavid BackesPPAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, Alex Pietrangelo · Tip-in, 0.18 xG2–0
- P3 13:16STLPatrik BerglundAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, Jaden Schwartz · Wrist, 0.21 xG3–0
- P3 14:51STLRyan ReavesAssists: Scott Nichol, Kent Huskins · Tip-in, 0.14 xG4–0
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:06STLBarret Jackman: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 3:04STLDavid Perron: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 9:23PHXMartin Hanzal: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 9:23STLKevin Shattenkirk: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:05STLVladimir Sobotka: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 18:57PHXAntoine Vermette: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 3:00STLDavid Backes: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 8:50PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 3:48PHXMartin Hanzal: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Backes won the faceoff against Hanzal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestStewart – Berglund – Schwartz5:38
xG 0.48–0.01 (97%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
- Arnott – Langenbrunner – Steen9:54
xG 0.39–0.14 (73%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Nichol – Sobotka – Reaves4:36
xG 0.27–0.07 (80%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Backes – Oshie – Sobotka5:12
xG 0.18–0.09 (68%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJackman – Shattenkirk8:05
xG 0.62–0.16 (79%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Jackman – Pietrangelo8:37
xG 0.29–0.09 (76%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Huskins – Russell5:03
xG 0.25–0.21 (55%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestGordon – Hanzal – Boedker10:49
xG 0.40–0.15 (72%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Langkow – Torres – Brule9:26
xG 0.30–0.28 (52%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Whitney – Vermette – Korpikoski8:02
xG 0.26–0.34 (43%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Bissonnette – Bolduc – Chipchura4:25
xG 0.18–0.28 (40%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestRozsival – Ekman-Larsson13:00
xG 0.56–0.18 (76%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Schlemko2:36
xG 0.16–0.23 (41%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Klesla – Schlemko7:35
xG 0.04–0.13 (25%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).