Mon, Mar 26, 2012·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Los Angeles Kings 0, Vancouver Canucks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 09 | 012 | 017 | 038 |
| VAN | 15 | 07 | 013 | 125 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:05VANManny MalhotraGWGAssists: Maxim Lapierre, Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 17:03VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:48LAKKyle Clifford: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 14:06LAKWillie Mitchell: Interference2 min
- P2 15:27VANDavid Booth: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 1:45LAKMatt Greene: Cross checking2 min
- P3 16:37LAKDustin Penner: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 19:34VANAlexander Edler: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pahlsson won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestStoll – Penner – Lewis10:03
xG 0.58–0.18 (76%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Carter – Richards – King10:58
xG 0.38–0.22 (63%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Williams – Brown – Kopitar14:55
xG 0.40–0.27 (60%)attempts 16–13goals 0–0
- Fraser – Clifford – Nolan5:56
xG 0.23–0.14 (62%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Doughty16:44
xG 0.89–0.51 (63%)attempts 15–14goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Voynov15:57
xG 0.53–0.26 (67%)attempts 22–14goals 0–1
- Greene – Martinez11:36
xG 0.30–0.24 (55%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBurrows – Kesler – Booth10:55
xG 0.24–0.12 (67%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Pahlsson – Higgins – Hansen10:40
xG 0.23–0.17 (58%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Sedin – Raymond – Kassian9:49
xG 0.26–0.51 (34%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Malhotra – Lapierre – Weise7:14
xG 0.07–0.35 (17%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Tanev14:27
xG 0.40–0.33 (55%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Edler16:54
xG 0.36–0.46 (44%)attempts 13–19goals 0–0
- Salo – Hamhuis3:04
xG 0.08–0.23 (25%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).