Tue, Mar 27, 2012·Prudential Center, Newark
Chicago Blackhawks 1, New Jersey Devils 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 013 | 010 | 113 | 02 | 1 | 138 |
| NJD | 111 | 04 | 04 | 03 | 2 | 222 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:42NJDPetr SykoraPPAssists: Adam Henrique, Mark Fayne · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–1
- P3 8:34CHIBrent SeabrookAssists: Dave Bolland, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. NJD Ilya Kovalchuk stopped
- 2. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 3. NJD Zach Parise stopped
- 4. CHI Viktor Stalberg stopped
- 5. NJD Patrik Elias scored
- 6. CHI Patrick Sharp scored
- 7. NJD David Clarkson stopped
- 8. CHI Marian Hossa stopped
- 9. NJD Travis Zajac scored
- 10. CHI Andrew Shaw stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 10:37NJDMarek Zidlicky: Interference2 min
- P1 13:50CHIBrent Seabrook: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:07CHISean O'Donnell: Holding2 min
- P2 13:43NJDIlya Kovalchuk: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:36NJDBryce Salvador: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:43NJDSteve Bernier: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:14CHIMarian Hossa: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bolland won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSharp – Stalberg – Kruger12:19
xG 1.06–0.04 (96%)attempts 18–4goals 0–0
- Brunette – Hossa – Kane13:32
xG 0.28–0.37 (43%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Bolland – Bickell – Shaw8:36
xG 0.36–0.44 (45%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeabrook – Hjalmarsson16:50
xG 1.23–0.45 (73%)attempts 20–13goals 1–0
- O'Donnell – Olsen2:13
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Oduya – Seabrook2:30
xG 0.12–0.06 (67%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestElias – Zubrus – Parise12:05
xG 0.65–0.37 (64%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Sykora – Bernier – Carter4:53
xG 0.05–0.04 (58%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Ponikarovsky – Clarkson – Josefson8:57
xG 0.08–0.18 (30%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Kovalchuk – Zajac – Henrique11:19
xG 0.13–0.37 (27%)attempts 6–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFayne – Greene11:07
xG 0.26–0.11 (71%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Zidlicky – Taormina2:07
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Salvador – Harrold3:57
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).