Thu, Apr 5, 2012·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Chicago Blackhawks 1, Minnesota Wild 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 110 | 011 | 01 | 01 | 0 | 123 |
| MIN | 03 | 011 | 18 | 01 | 1 | 223 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:37CHIJamal MayersAssists: Michael Frolik · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
- P3 16:48MINCal ClutterbuckPPAssists: Marco Scandella, Dany Heatley · Deflected, 0.04 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. MIN Erik Christensen stopped
- 2. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 3. MIN Mikko Koivu stopped
- 4. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
- 5. MIN Devin Setoguchi scored
- 6. CHI Viktor Stalberg stopped
Penalties (13)
- P1 8:19MINDany Heatley: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:19MINNate Prosser: Head butting5 min
- P1 18:19MINNate Prosser: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 4:59MINTyler Cuma: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 9:24CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:23MINJustin Falk: Holding2 min
- P2 15:23MINJason Zucker: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:23CHIJamal Mayers: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:40CHIBryan Bickell: High sticking2 min · PPG
- OT 4:21CHIPatrick Kane: Roughing2 min
- OT 4:21MINCal Clutterbuck: Roughing2 min
- OT 4:21CHIPatrick Kane: Roughing2 min
- OT 4:21MINCal Clutterbuck: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kruger won the faceoff against Brodziak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestMorrison – Bickell – Hayes2:27
xG 0.37–0.02 (94%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Mayers – Frolik – Bollig7:06
xG 0.31–0.08 (80%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Hossa – Kane – Hayes9:06
xG 0.28–0.10 (75%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Morrison – Bickell – Shaw9:54
xG 0.16–0.20 (44%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Leddy13:35
xG 0.80–0.47 (63%)attempts 18–9goals 1–0
- O'Donnell – Hjalmarsson13:56
xG 0.32–0.06 (85%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook12:41
xG 0.17–0.40 (29%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestBrodziak – Clutterbuck – Powe9:08
xG 0.43–0.31 (58%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Heatley – Koivu – Setoguchi13:42
xG 0.20–0.18 (52%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Christensen – Johnson – Zucker7:02
xG 0.10–0.27 (27%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Peters – Veilleux – Ortmeyer5:36
xG 0.01–0.28 (4%)attempts 3–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFoster – Falk7:20
xG 0.37–0.09 (80%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Foster – Cuma4:46
xG 0.24–0.17 (58%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Gilbert – Scandella14:34
xG 0.25–0.18 (57%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).